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Revisiting Women's Empowerment and Contraception Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-11-14 Shireen J. Jejeebhoy, Zeba Sathar
This essay explores and reviews the literature from low‐ and middle‐income countries on the pathways of influence between women's empowerment and reproductive outcomes, specially focusing on contraception, and points to some outstanding gaps. We adopt a framework that assesses the influence of contextual factors, notably kinship structures, and marriage systems, on women's empowerment and agency and
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The Globalization of International Migration? A Conceptual and Data‐Driven Synthesis Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-11-12 Jasmine Trang Ha, Jack DeWaard, Guy Abel, Kazumi Tsuchiya, Jessie Pinchoff, Christopher Levesque, Kobie Price
Although the globalization of international migration is commonly accepted as a general tendency in contemporary migration patterns (de Haas, Castles, and Miller 2020, 9), the corresponding body of empirical evidence is mixed and fragmented. Our review of global migration patterns over the past half‐century highlights how the theories, expectations, and ultimately findings may vary depending on the
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Contraceptive Change and Fertility Transition Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-11-08 Vladimíra Kantorová, John Bongaarts
Over the past half‐century, most countries have made progress through their demographic transitions with continuing declines in mortality and fertility. The major driver of fertility decline has been the adoption of contraception by women of reproductive age who increasingly desire smaller families. This paper documents the massive changes in contraceptive behavior that have occurred since 1970 at
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The Next 2 Billion: Can the World Support 10 Billion People? Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-11-06 David Lam
The UN projects that world population will peak at 10.3 billion in 2084, a 2.1 billion increase from 2024. Can the world provide food, water, and other resources to 10.3 billion people? How will additional population exacerbate resource challenges and worsen climate change? This paper analyzes these questions by looking at the last 60 years and by simulating the future impact of population growth and
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Progress Stalled? The Uncertain Future of Mortality in High‐Income Countries Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-11-05 Jennifer Beam Dowd, Antonino Polizzi, Andrea M. Tilstra
Steady and significant improvements in life expectancy have been a bright spot for human progress for the last century or more. Recently, this success has shown signs of faltering in some high‐income countries, where mortality improvements have slowed or even reversed since the early 2010s. Combined with the large mortality shock of the COVID‐19 pandemic, guaranteed forward progress feels less certain
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The Potential of Internal Migration to Shape Rural and Urban Populations Across Africa, Asia, and Latin America Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-11-05 Ashira Menashe‐Oren, Philippe Bocquier
Subnational divergence in the age and sex structures of populations can have far‐stretching consequences for development: from marriage markets to the potential for violence to economic growth. With urbanization and the demographic transition still underway, rural and urban populations continue to differ across low‐ and middle‐income countries. We examine the extent by which internal migration contributes
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Beyond Stocks and Surges: The Demographic Impact of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in the United States Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-29 Jennifer Van Hook
Stock estimates of the US unauthorized foreign‐born population are routinely published, but less is known about this population's dynamics. Using a series of residual estimates based on 2000 Census and 2001–2022 American Community Survey (ACS), I estimate the components of change for the unauthorized immigrant population from 2000 to 2022 by region and country of origin. Further, I develop and present
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Older Adults’ Descendants and Family Networks in the Context of Global Educational Expansion Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-28 Rachel Margolis, Mara Getz Sheftel, Haowei Wang, Raeven Faye Chandler, Lauren Newmyer, Ashton M. Verdery
Family networks are key to understanding the well‐being of older adults because kin provide instrumental and financial support, help manage health and disability, and encourage social integration. Two momentous societal changes have shaped the families of contemporary older adults: the first and second demographic transitions and global educational expansion. The intersection of these two processes
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Gender Differences in the Migration Process: A Narrative Literature Review Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-11 Athina Anastasiadou, Jisu Kim, Ebru Sanlitürk, Helga A. G. de Valk, Emilio Zagheni
Migration scholars agree that migration is a highly gendered process. While the literature on this topic is increasing, the knowledge produced remains fragmentary and has not been synthesized systematically yet. This literature review aims at summarizing the current findings of quantitative migration research comparing migration patterns between genders and highlighting gaps and patterns in the literature
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Reconsidering the Relationship Between Educational Hypogamy and Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from India Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-11 Roshan K. Pandian
Past research suggests that the expansion of women's education reduces their exposure to intimate partner violence (IPV) due to attitudinal changes and women's greater access to resources. The IPV literature also suggests that educational hypogamy (women marrying men with less education) increases IPV as women face backlash associated with gender‐status inconsistencies. However, existing research has
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COVID‐19 Pandemic and Women's Age at Marriage: New Evidence From India Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-09 Deepshikha Batheja, Abhik Banerji, Amit Summan, Ramanan Laxminarayan, Arindam Nandi
A rich literature has documented the relationship between age at marriage and girls’ health and educational outcomes. The upheaval caused by the pandemic on household decision‐making has been hypothesized to have influenced the age of marriage, but the direction of impact is unclear. On the one hand, the pandemic may have increased the age at marriage if lockdown policies and negative income shocks
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Fertility Desires and Contraceptive Transition Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-07 Sara Yeatman, Christie Sennott
Fertility desires are fundamental to understanding contraceptive use, yet the relationship between the two remains unclear and is the subject of much debate in demography. To understand the macrolevel relationship between fertility desires and contraceptive transition in low‐ and middle‐income countries, we introduce a conceptual model that articulates the microlevel processes through which a desire
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Reflections on the Value of Anthropology for Understanding Population Processes Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-04 Daniel Jordan Smith
In this commentary—written to celebrate, but also evaluate, the relationship between anthropology and demography at the 50th anniversary of the journal—I focus on the insights gained and the challenges posed by applying anthropological theory and utilizing ethnographic methods in population studies. Population and Development Review has been the venue of choice for many anthropologists because it has
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Societal Upheaval and the Contraceptive Transition Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-03 Mathias Lerch
Human development and family planning programs since the 1970s have led to a fast‐rising prevalence of modern contraceptive means at the global level. However, countries with rising but still low levels of contraceptive use experienced an increasing number of societal upheavals, including armed conflicts, sudden and high‐intensity natural disasters, as well as dramatic effects of health epidemics.
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Fertility Transitions in Low‐ and Middle‐Income Countries: The Role of Preferences Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-03 John Bongaarts
Since the mid‐twentieth century, the Global South has experienced unprecedently rapid and pervasive changes in reproductive behavior with fertility declining from high pre‐transitional levels to below 3 births per woman in most low‐ and middle‐income countries (LMICs). Over time a rough consensus has been reached on major theories about the causes of these declines. However, a controversy remains about
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Forecasting Population in an Uncertain World: Approaches, New Uses, and Troubling Limitations Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-03 Ronald Lee
The long human lifespan enables long run forecasts of population size and age distribution. New methods include biodemographic research on upper limits to life expectancy and incorporation of early experiences affecting later life mortality such as smoking, obesity, and childhood health shocks. Some fertility forecasts incorporate education and quantum‐tempo insights. Statistical time series and Bayesian
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Alignment, Anticipation, Adaptation, or Lagging Behind? Age‐Based Regulations in Assisted Reproduction and Late Fertility Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Marie‐Caroline Compans
This paper focuses on age restrictions on access to infertility treatments and eligibility for their public reimbursement, exploring their relevancy in contexts of rising late birth rates (40+). I explore how age‐based reimbursement policies for in vitro fertilization treatments have responded to these fertility trends in 27 high‐income countries and in which regulatory frameworks for medically assisted
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New Data Sources for Demographic Research Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Casey F. Breen, Dennis M. Feehan
We are in the early stages of a new era of demographic research that offers exciting opportunities to quantify demographic phenomena at a scale and resolution once unimaginable. These scientific possibilities are opened up by new sources of data, such as the digital traces that arise from ubiquitous social computing, massive longitudinal datasets produced by the digitization of historical records,
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Health Transitions and the Rise of Modern Contraceptive Prevalence: Demand, Access, and Choice Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-09-28 Jamaica Corker, Ann Biddlecom, Mohammad Jalal Abbasi‐Shavazi, Alex Ezeh, Rodolfo Gómez Ponce de León
Improvements in health and mortality, known as the health transition, played important roles in the rise of modern contraceptive prevalence across countries. We describe key mechanisms and selected research evidence that show how health transitions helped shape contraceptive transitions around the world. Mechanisms include how decreases in child mortality rates affect the motivation to use contraception
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Recognizing Identity Fluidity in Demographic Research Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-09-25 Aliya Saperstein
Standard demographic research has typically constrained the existence of identity fluidity, assuming that demographic categories such as race or ethnicity and sex or gender should be static across the life course and measuring them as such. However, recent research and changes in data collection practices highlight the limitations of this approach by demonstrating fluidity in both racial and gender
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Rethinking City Population Growth: How Reclassification Matters Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-09-17 Alfredo Alessandrini, Christoph Deuster, Lewis Dijkstra, Daniela Ghio, Fabrizio Natale
City populations grow due to natural change, migration, and areas that are reclassified as part of a city. Because a time series of city boundaries was not available, most analyses ignore reclassification. This paper measures reclassification in a harmonized and transparent manner by applying a new harmonized definition of cities, towns, and rural areas, called the degree of urbanization, to gridded
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Progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals, Halfway to 2030 Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-09-11
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Jonathan Swift on People and Poverty Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-09-11
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HeinDe Haas, How Migration Really Works: A Factful Guide to the Most Divisive Issue in Politics, Basic Books, 2023. 464 p., $35.00. Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-09-04 Jennifer Van Hook
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Medically Assisted Reproduction and Partnership Stability Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-09-02 Alina Pelikh, Hanna Remes, Niina Metsä‐Simola, Alice Goisis
Despite the increasing use of medically assisted reproduction (MAR) in modern societies, there is limited evidence on whether conceiving with MAR or remaining involuntarily childless after MAR is associated with partnership stability. While older age, the more advantaged socioeconomic position of women undergoing MAR and their strong fertility intentions could lead to higher partnership stability,
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How Family Dynamics Shape Income Inequality Between Families With Young Children: The Case of Sweden, 1995–2018 Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-08-30 Sunnee Billingsley, Pilar Gonalons‐Pons, Ann‐Zofie Duvander
Increased gender equality in the labor market and the home are both cited as stabilizers to income inequality between households, but shifts in the economic organization of families over the life course instead appear to amplify household income inequality. Using the case of Sweden, where men have taken longer parental leave in recent years and the age at parenthood continues to advance, we analyze
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Mortality Convergence in Europe? Spatial Differences in Life Expectancy Gains Between 1995 and 2019 Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-08-07 Markus Sauerberg, Florian Bonnet, Carlo Giovanni Camarda, Pavel Grigoriev
The conventional approach to gauging mortality convergence in Europe relies on life expectancy estimates () at the national level. However, mortality can differ within countries significantly. To better apprehend whether Europe's mortality patterns have been converging or diverging over recent decades, we must shift our focus to regional mortality data. Using data from statistical offices, we present
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Digital Trace Data and Demographic Forecasting: How Well Did Google Predict the US COVID‐19 Baby Bust? Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-30 Joshua Wilde, Wei Chen, Sophie Lohmann, Jasmin Abdel Ghany
At the onset of the first wave of COVID‐19 in the United States, the pandemic's effect on future birthrates was unknown. In this paper, we assess whether digital trace data—often touted as a panacea for traditional data scarcity—held the potential to accurately predict fertility change caused by the COVID‐19 pandemic in the United States. Specifically, we produced state‐level, dynamic future predictions
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Birth Intention Status and Infant Mortality: Fixed‐Effects Analysis of 60 Countries Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-30 Heini Väisänen, Ewa Batyra
Most studies on the impact of birth intentions on children's well‐being do not separate risks of infant mortality associated with pregnancy intention status from the risks that are associated with sociodemographic characteristics. There is a lack of studies taking a multicountry comparative perspective. We analyzed 60 Demographic and Health Surveys in Asia, the Americas, and Africa to examine the association
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Revolving Doors: How Externalization Policies Block Refugees and Deflect Other Migrants across Migration Routes Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-23 Alice Mesnard, Filip Savatic, Jean‐Noël Senne, Hélène Thiollet
Migrant destination states of the Global North generally seek to stem irregular migration while remaining committed to refugee rights. To do so, these states have increasingly sought to externalize migration control, implicating migrant origin and transit states in managing the movement of persons across borders. But do externalization policies actually have an impact on unauthorized migration flows
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Fertility and Family Dynamics in the Aftermath of the COVID‐19 Pandemic Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-17 Natalie Nitsche, Joshua Wilde
When the COVID‐19 pandemic began in early 2020, speculation was rife both in public and academic spheres over its possible effects on birth rates and partnership behavior. Now, over four years later, we still know surprisingly little about the effect of COVID‐19 on fertility and family dynamics. In this paper, we outline three main takeaways from the scientific literature produced on this topic in
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The Demography of Crisis‐Driven Outflows from Venezuela Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-17 Jenny Garcia Arias
The Venezuelan exodus represents the largest known displacement of people in recent Latin American history. The regional crisis caused by this mass Venezuelan migration drove the development of multiple interagency initiatives (such as the R4V platform) as well as academic attempts to keep track of outflow intensity. However, little is known about the age and gender composition of the emigrants since
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Worlds in Motion Redux? Expanding Migration Theories and Their Interconnections Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-12 Fernando Riosmena
Migration theorizing has coalesced around sets encompassing several frameworks. Despite many contributions of these collections, contemporary migration theorizing exhibits three important shortcomings, which this paper aims to address. First, sets of theories have traditionally not explicitly and jointly addressed fundamental questions in migration, namely (i) key motivations beyond those related to
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Does Inequality Have Momentum? The Implications of Convex Inequality Regimes for Mortality Dynamics Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-09 Arun S. Hendi
For decades, educational inequalities in mortality have widened and mortality among the least educated has stalled, even as overall mortality has improved, and an increasing proportion of young people have completed secondary and tertiary education. While researchers recognize that these trends are in part related to changing selection into education groups, there has been no unifying framework for
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The Last Bastion is Falling: Survey Evidence of the New Family Reality in Italy Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-03 Arnstein Aassve, Letizia Mencarini, Elena Pirani, Daniele Vignoli
The study makes use of the 2016 Household Multipurpose Survey of Family, Social Subjects, and Life Cycle to demonstrate that family‐related behavior is now rapidly changing in Italy. The country is often taken as a stronghold of traditionalism. We, instead, highlight recent and substantial changes in cohabitation, dissolution, and nonmarital fertility in the country. In doing so, we carefully assess
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No End to Hypergamy when Considering the Full Married Population Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-02 Daniela R. Urbina, Margaret Frye, Sara Lopus
The worldwide expansion of female educational opportunities in recent decades has prompted demographers to assess the frequency with which women marry up (hypergamy) or down (hypogamy) with regard to education. A series of articles documented dramatic and nearly universal declines in hypergamy over time and across female educational advantage. However, this previous work investigated hypergamy only
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Unhealthy Assimilation or Compositional Differences? Disentangling Immigrants' Mental Health Trajectories with Residence Duration Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-02 Claudia Brunori
Studies have often found that recent immigrants have better mental health than natives, whereas established immigrants have no such advantage. This could be interpreted as evidence for immigrants' mental health deteriorating with residence duration—the “unhealthy assimilation hypothesis.” However, the methods used in the literature are unfit to assess whether the mental health differences between recent
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Spousal Agreement on Sex Preferences for Children and Gender Gaps in Children's Education Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-02 Vida Maralani, Candas Pinar
Using data from 60 countries, we measure how much couples agree on sex preferences for children and whether differences in sex preferences are associated with gender gaps in children's education. Results show extensive disagreement in sex preferences for children, with husbands far more likely to want more sons but their wives more likely to prefer having equal numbers of boys and girls, wanting more
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Personal and Social Worries Associated with the Likelihood of Having Children Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-07-01 Kateryna Golovina, Markus Jokela
Previous studies showed that worries about the economic situation and job security are associated with childbearing, but evidence is scarce on whether worries about other personal and social issues are also related to childbearing. Drawing on the German Socio‐Economic Panel Study, this study examined the relationship between worries about various personal and social issues and the likelihood of having
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Melissa S.KearneyThe Two Parent Privilege: How Americans Stopped Getting Married and Started Falling BehindUniversity of Chicago Press, 2023, 240 p., $25.00. Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-05-31 SARAH R. HAYFORD
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Claire L.WendlandPartial Stories: Maternal Death from Six AnglesUniversity of Chicago Press, 2022, 356 p., $35.00. Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-05-31 SANYU A. MOJOLA
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IPCC, 2023: Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. IPCC, 184 p., doi: https://doi.org/10.59327/IPCC/AR6-9789291691647 Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-05-23 JOHN BONGAARTS
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Henry Pratt Fairchild on the Restriction of Immigration Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-05-22
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Milestone Moments: Community Violence and Women's Life‐Course Transitions in Colombia, the Dominican Republic, and Guatemala Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-04-22 Signe Svallfors
Deadly violence has drastically increased in Latin America, posing a serious threat to women's sexual and reproductive health. Previous research has documented both increases and declines in youth‐to‐adulthood transitions associated with exposure to violence globally. However, there has been a lack of comparative studies focusing on multiple life‐course transitions. This study investigated the impact
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Life Expectancy Reversals in Low‐Mortality Populations Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-04-22 Joshua R. Goldstein, Ronald D. Lee
Behind the steady march of progress toward longer life expectancy in many low‐mortality countries, there have been setbacks even before the Covid‐19 pandemic. In this paper, we use an exploratory approach to describe the temporal structure, age patterns, and geographic aspects of life expectancy reversals. We find that drops in life expectancy are often followed by larger than average improvements
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Does Family Structure Account for Child Achievement Gaps by Parental Education? Findings for England, France, Germany and the United States Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-04-15 Anne Solaz, Lidia Panico, Alexandra Sheridan, Thorsten Schneider, Jascha Dräger, Jane Waldfogel, Sarah Jiyoon Kwon, Elizabeth Washbrook, Valentina Perinetti Casoni
This paper explores the role of family trajectories during childhood in explaining inequalities by maternal education in children's math and reading skills using harmonized, longitudinal, and nationally representative surveys, which follow children over the course of primary and lower secondary school in four high‐income countries (England, France, Germany, and the United States). As single parenthood
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Remittances‐Adjusted Support Ratio Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-04-12 Lukas Tohoff, Daji Landis, Letizia Mencarini, Arnstein Aassve
We introduce a new demographic indicator, the remittances‐adjusted support ratio (RASR), which incorporates the support offered through remittances into the existing support ratio (SR). Remittances have increased rapidly in recent decades due to improved technology, and they play a crucial role in the countries that send migrants abroad. This is important as many countries are still undergoing their
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Climatic Variability and Internal Migration in Asia: Evidence from Big Microdata Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-04-12 Brian C. Thiede, Abbie Robinson, Clark Gray
The effects of climate change on human migration have received widespread attention, driven in part by concerns about potential large‐scale population displacements. Recent studies demonstrate that climate‐migration linkages are often complex, and climatic variability may increase, decrease, or have null effects on migration. However, the use of noncomparable analytic strategies across studies makes
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Fertility Responses to the COVID‐19 Pandemic: A Perspective of Reproductive Process Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-03-28 Xinguang Fan
The COVID‐19 pandemic has potential large‐scale impacts on population dynamics. Yet, recent theories and empirical analyses fall short of fully articulating the extent and nature of the pandemic's influence on birth rates at the aggregate level. This study advances the comprehension of fertility dynamics amid the pandemic by focusing on the reproductive process. The effects of the pandemic on conceptions
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State‐Level Immigrant Policies and Ideal Family Size in the United States Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-03-26 Julia A. Behrman, Abigail Weitzman
Demographers have long been interested in how fertility ideals vary in response to perceived existential threats. Although migration scholars document the increasingly threatening nature of U.S. immigration policies, little research explores how these policies shape the fertility ideals of those most affected by them. To that end, we exploit spatiotemporal variation in states’ evolving immigrant policy
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Where Does the Black–White Life Expectancy Gap Come From? The Deadly Consequences of Residential Segregation Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-03-22 Arun S. Hendi
The disparity in life expectancy between white and black Americans exceeds five years for men and three years for women. While prior research has investigated the roles of healthcare, health behaviors, biological risk, socioeconomic status, and life course effects on black mortality, the literature on the geographic origins of the gap is more limited. This study examines how the black–white life expectancy
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Societal Pessimism and the Transition to Parenthood: A Future Too Bleak to Have Children? Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-03-22 Katya Ivanova, Nicoletta Balbo
Contemporary adults often cite economic uncertainty, global warming, and increasing inequality as reasons for intending not to have children. Despite extensive research on the impact of societal pessimism on attitudes towards out‐group members, political preferences, and voting behaviors, its impact on demographic behaviors, such as fertility, has received little attention. This study examines the
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Fertility Postponement, Economic Uncertainty, and the Increasing Income Prerequisites of Parenthood Population and Development Review (IF 4.6) Pub Date : 2024-03-13 Daniël van Wijk, Francesco C. Billari
Rich societies have witnessed a postponement of parenthood over the past two decades, and young adults’ economic conditions are often invoked to explain this trend. However, macro-level trends in both “subjective” perceptions of economic uncertainty and “objective” measures of actual income provide no satisfactory explanation for the postponement of parenthood. We propose a potential solution to this