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出版专著
史培军，王爱慧，孙福宝，李宁，徐伟，叶涛等. 综合风险防范：全球变化人口与经济系统风险形成机制及评估研究.科学出版社，2022.
叶涛，史培军，王俊，王平，王静爱. 综合风险防范：农业自然灾害保险区划. 科学出版社, 2017.
Hartmann, Rudi, Jing’aiWang, and Tao Ye (eds.) 2014. A Comparative Geographyof China and the U.S. GeoJournalLibrary Volume 109. Springer:Dordrecht Heidelberg New York London.
发表论文
Yang, T., Li, Z., Bai, Y., Liu, X., Ye, T.*, Residents’ Preferences for Rural Housing Disaster Insurance Attributes in Central and Western Tibet. Int. J. Disaster Risk Sci. (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-023-00469-y (2022年IF=4.500)
Liu, Y., Liu, W., Li, Y., Ye, T.*, Chen, S., Li, Z., Sun, R., Concurrent precipitation extremes modulate the response of rice transplanting date to preseason temperature extremes in China. Earth's Future. 11, e2022EF002888, (2022). https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002888 (2022年IF=8.852)
Liu, W., Li, Z., Li, Y., Ye, T.*, Chen, S., Liu, Y., Heterogeneous impacts of excessive wetness on maize yields in China: Evidence from statistical yields and process-based crop models. Agric. For. Meteorol. 327, 109205, (2022). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109205 (2021年IF=6.424)
Liu, X., Yang, S., Huang, X., An, R., Xiong, Q., Ye, T.*, Quantifying COVID-19 recovery process from a human mobility perspective: An intra-city study in Wuhan. Cities. 132, 104104, (2023). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2022.104104 (2021年IF=6.077)
Li, Z., Liu, W., Ye, T.*, Chen, S., Shan, H., Observed and CMIP6 simulated occurrence and intensity of compound agroclimatic extremes over maize harvested areas in China. Weather Clim. Extrem. 38, 100503, (2022). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100503 (2021年IF=7.761)
Chen, S., Liu, W., Feng, P., Ye, T.*, Ma,Y., Zhang, Z. Improving spatial disaggregation of crop yield by incorporating machine learning with multisource data: A case study of Chinese maize yield. Remote Sens. 14, 2340, (2022). https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14102340 (2021年IF=5.349)
Ye, T., Liu, W., Chen, S., Chen, D., Shi, P.*, Wang, A. and Li, Y. Reducing livestock snow disaster risk in the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau due to warming and socioeconomic development. Sci. Total Environ. 813, 151869, (2022). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151869 (2021年IF=10.753)
Liu, Y.,Zhao, W., Chen, S,. Ye, T.* Mapping crop rotation by using deeply synergistic optical and SAR time series. Remote Sens. 13, 4160, (2021). https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13204160 (2021年IF=5.349)
Liu,W., Ye, T.*, Jagermeyr, J., Müller, C., Chen, S., Liu, X. &Shi, P. Future climate change significantly alters interannual wheat yieldvariability over half of harvested areas. Environ. Res. Lett. 16,(2021). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1fbb (2021年IF=6.947)
Liu, X.,Yang, S., Ye, T.*, An, R. & Chen, C. A new approach to estimating flood-affected populations by combining mobility patterns with multi-sourcedata: A case study of Wuhan, China. Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 55, 102106 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102106 (2021年IF=4.842)
Liu,W., Ye, T.*. & Shi, P. Decreasing wheat yield stability on the North China Plain: Relative contributions from climate change in mean andvariability. Int. J. Climatol. 41, E2820–E2833(2021). https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6882 (2021年IF=3.651)
Chen, S.,Liu, W. & Ye, T.* Dataset of trend-preserving bias-correcteddaily temperature, precipitation and wind from NEX-GDDP and CMIP5 over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Data Br. 31, 105733 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2020.105733 (2021年IF=0.28)
Ye, T. et al. Quantifying livestock vulnerability tosnow disasters in the Tibetan Plateau: Comparing different modeling techniques for prediction. Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 48,101578 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101578 (2021年IF=4.842)
刘苇航, 叶涛*, 史培军等. 气候变化对粮食生产风险的影响研究进展.自然灾害学报,2022(31).
于海娇, 牟青洋, 叶涛*, 战宁. 浙江省农房自然灾害保险费率厘定研究. 灾害学. 2021.
叶涛, 陈说, 刘苇航, 牟青洋, 史培军*, 张兴明. 全国主粮作物减产风险评估与保险费率厘定研究. 保险研究. 2021(2).
杨婷婷, 陈说, 牟青洋, 刘晓燕, 刘苇航, 叶涛*. 牦牛雪灾天气指数保险支付意愿研究——以青海省玉树州为例. 农业现代化研究. 2021(42).
陈说, 叶涛*, 刘苇航, 王爱慧. NEX-GDDP和CMIP5对青藏高原地区近地面气象场历史和未来模拟的评估与偏差校正．高原气象. https://kns.cnki.net/kcms/detail/62.1061.P.20201012.1558.008.html
Ye, T. et al. Event-based probabilistic risk assessment of livestock snow disasters in the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau. Nat.Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 19,697–713 (2019). https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-697-2019 (2021年IF=4.58)
Ye, T. et al. Impacts of climate warming, cultivar shifts, and phenological dates on rice growth periodlength in China after correction for seasonal shift effects. Clim. Change 1–17 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02450-5 (2021年IF=5.174)
Ye, T., Hu, W., Barnett, B. J.,Wang, J. & Gao, Y. Area yield index insurance or farm yield crop insurance? Chinese perspectives on farmers’ welfare and government subsidy effectiveness. J.Agric. Econ. (2019). http://doi.org/10.1111/1477-9552.12326 (2021年IF=4.163)
Li, Y., Ye, T.*, Liu, W. & Gao, Y. Linking livestock snow disastermortality and environmental stressors in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau: Quantification based on generalized additive models. Sci. Total Environ. 625, 87–95 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.12.230 (2021年IF=10.753)
Ye, T.*,Wang, M., Hu, W., Liu, Y. & Shi, P. High liabilities or heavy subsidies: Farmers’ preferences for crop insurance attributes in Hunan, China. China Agric. Econ. Rev. 9, 588–606 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1108/CAER-06-2016-0093 (2021年IF=4.265)
Ye, T.,Li, Y., Gao, Y., Wang, J. & Yi, M. Designing index-based livestock insurance for managing snow disaster risk in Eastern Inner Mongolia, China. Int.J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 23, 160–168 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.04.013 (2021年IF=4.842)
Ye, T.,Wang, Y.*, Guo, Z. & Li, Y. Factor contribution to fire occurrence, size, and burn probability in a subtropical coniferous forest in East China. PLoSOne 12, e0172110 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0172110 (2021年IF=3.752)
胡睿, 叶涛* & 张云霞. 中央级自然灾害生活救助资金标准估算研究. 灾害学 33, 165–174 (2018).
刘新立, 叶涛 & 方伟华. 海南省橡胶树风灾指数保险指数指标设计研究. 保险研究 6, 5–9 (2017).
李懿珈, 叶涛*, 王尧 & 史培军. 湖南省水稻气象灾害多致灾因子时空特征研究. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版) 53, 99–104 (2017).
高瑜, 叶涛*, 王季薇, 王莹. 种植业多灾种综合险与区域产量指数保险中的大灾风险比较研究. 农业现代化研究, 38(5): 827-833 (2017).
Ye, T., Liu, Y., Wang, J., Wang, M. & Shi, P. Farmers’ cropinsurance perception and participation decisions: Empirical evidence from Hunan, China. J. Risk Res. 20, 1–14 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2015.1118151 (2021年IF=5.346)
Hu, X.-B., Wang, M., Ye, T. & Shi, P. A new method for resource allocation optimization in disaster reduction and risk governance. Int.J. Disaster Risk Sci. 7, (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-016-0089-2 (2021年IF=4.842)
Ye, T. etal. Government investment in disaster risk reduction based on a probabilistic risk model: A case study of typhoon disasters in Shenzhen, China. Int. J. Disaster Risk Sci. 7,123–137 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-016-0092-7 (2021年IF=4.842)
Wang, Z., Ye, T., Wang, J., Cheng, Z. & Shi, P. Contribution of climaticand technological factors to crop yield: Empirical evidence from late paddyrice in Hunan Province, China. Stoch. Environ. Res. Risk Assess. (2016). http://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-016-1215-9 (2021年IF=3.821)
Li, M., Ye, T.*, Shi, P. & Fang, J. Impacts of the global economiccrisis and Tohoku earthquake on Sino–Japan trade: A comparative perspective. Nat.Hazards. 75, 541–556 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1335-9 (2021年IF=3.158)
Wang, M., Ye, T. & Shi, P. Factors affecting farmers’ crop insurance participation in China. Can. J.Agric. Econ. 64, 479–492 (2015). http://doi.org/10.1111/cjag.12088 (2021年IF=11.353)
WANG, Y., ZHUO, L., YI, M. & YE, T*. Identification of single/double-season paddy rice and retrieval of growth periods in Hunan Province. Prog. Geogr. 34, 1306–1315 (2015). (in Chinese). https://doi.org/10.18306/dlkxjz.2015.10.011
Stojanovski, P., Dong, W.M., Wang, M., Ye, T., et al. Agricultural risk modeling challenges in China: probabilistic modeling of rice losses in Hunan province. Int. J.Disaster Risk Sci. 6, 335–346 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-015-0071-4 (2021年IF=4.842)
Zhang, X., Yin, W.X., Wang, J., Ye, T.,et al. Crop insurance premium ratemaking based on survey data: a case study from Dingxing county, China. Int. J. Disaster Risk Sci. 6,207–215 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-015-0059-0 (2021年IF=4.842)
Ye, T.,Nie, J. L., Wang, J., Shi, P. J. & Wang, Z. Performance of detrending models for crop yield risk assessment: evaluation with real and hypothetical yield data. Stoch. Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 29, 109–117 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-014-0871-x (2021年IF=3.821)
Ye, T.,Muller, B. & Shi, P. in A Comparative Geography of China and the U.S.GeoJournal Library Volume 109 (eds. Hartmann, R., Wang, J. & Ye, T.) 109,277–307 (Springer Netherlands, 2014).
Shi, P., Pannell, C. W. & Ye, T. in A Comparative Geography of China and the U.S. GeoJournal Library Volume 109 (eds. Hartmann, R., Wang,J. & Ye, T.) 353–376 (Springer, 2014). http://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-8792-5
Ye, T.& Wang, M. Exploring risk attitude by a comparative experimental approach and its implication to disaster insurance practice in China. J. Risk Res.16, 861–878 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2012.743159 (2021年IF=5.346)
Ye, T. etal. China’s drought disaster risk management: Perspective of severe droughts in 2009–2010. Int. J. Disaster Risk Sci. 3, 84–97(2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-012-0009-z (2021年IF=4.842)
Okada, N., Ye, T.*, Kajitani, Y., Shi, P. & Tatano, H. The 2011 eastern Japan great earthquake disaster: Overview and comments. Int. J. DisasterRisk Sci. 2, 34–42 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-011-0004-9 (2021年IF=4.842)
Ye, T.,Yokomatsu, M. & Okada, N. Agricultural production behavior under premium subsidy: Incorporating crop price when subsistence constraint holds. Int. J.Disaster Risk Sci. 3, 131–138 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-012-0013-3 (2021年IF=4.842)
Wang, M., Shi, P., Ye, T., Liu, M. & Zhou, M. Agriculture insurance in China: History, experience, and lessons learned. Int.J. Disaster Risk Sci. 2, 10–22 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-011-0007-6 (2021年IF=4.842)
Ye, T.,Nie, J., Wu, B., Li, M. & Shi, P. Crop insurance premium rating based on yield simulation models. Sci. Agric. Sin. 45, 2544–2551 (2012).(in Chinese) http://doi.org/10.3864/j.issn.0578-1752.2012.12.025
易沵泺, 王季薇, 王铸, 梅杰, 叶涛*, 史培军.草原牧区雪灾天气指数保险设计.保险研究 2015, 69–77 (2015).
叶涛, 史培军 & 王静爱. 种植业自然灾害风险模型研究进展. (2014).
叶涛, 谭畅 & 刘杨宾. 基于县域单产数据的种植业保险定价模型关键假设检验. 保险研究 3–10 (2014).
李曼, 武宾霞, 叶涛*, 史培军. 中国民政救灾资金年度需求分析. 灾害学 28(1) 154-159 (2013).
刘杨宾, 叶涛*, 赵金涛 & 杨赛霓. 基于统计建模与随机事件仿真的农作物冰雹灾害风险评估——以河北省为例. 北京师范大学学报（自然科学版） 49,496–500 (2013).
聂建亮, 叶涛*, 王俊 & 史培军. 基于双尺度产量统计模型的农作物多灾种产量险费率厘定研究. 保险研究. 保险研究 47–55 (2012).
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