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个人简介

教育背景 学士学位(2001年),气象学,南京气象学院 硕士学位(2004年),气象学,南京气象学院和中国科学院大气物理研究所联合培养 博士学位(2007年),气象学,中国科学院大气物理研究所 研究经历 2021年11月—至今,教授,复旦大学,大气与海洋科学系/大气科学研究院 2019年01月—2021年10月,研究员,复旦大学,大气与海洋科学系/大气科学研究院 2017年12月—2018年12月,研究员,中国气象局上海台风研究所 2016年10月—2017年09月,访问学者,美国夏威夷大学,国际太平洋研究中心(IPRC) 2010年12月—2017年11月,副研究员,中国气象局上海台风研究所 2010年11月—2011年01月,博士后,台湾大学 2009年09月—2009年11月,访问学者,美国夏威夷大学,国际太平洋研究中心(IPRC) 2007年08月—2010年11月,助理研究员,中国气象局上海台风研究所 获奖情况 2019年,热带气旋发展演变机制及预报技术理论研究,教育部高等学校科学技术一等奖,中国 2018年,我国邻近海域海气相互作用特征、机制及其影响,江苏省科学技术三等奖,中国 2014年,中国气象局首批青年英才,中国

研究领域

主要研究方向为台风天气与气候学,气候变化及预测,平流层-对流层交换等。目前特别关注台风快速加强、台风群发的多尺度变化特征和机理、台风模拟的不确定性、AI技术在台风预报中的应用等

近期论文

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Li, Y. M., R.-F. Zhan*, and J. W. Zhao, 2023: What caused the salient difference in rapid intensification magnitudes of Northwest Pacific tropical cyclones between 1998 and 2010? Atmospheric Research, 285, 106654, doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106654. Li, X. M., R.-F. Zhan*, Y. Wang, J. W. Zhao. Y. H. Ding, and K. X. Song, 2023: Recent increase in rapid intensification events of tropical cyclones along China Coast, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-06917-1. Fu, Z. H., R.-F. Zhan*, J. W. Zhao, Y. Yamada, K. X. Song, 2023: Future projections of multiple tropical cyclone events in the Northern Hemisphere in the CMIP6-HighResMIP models, Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL103064. doi: 10.1029/2023GL103064. Zhan, R.-F.*, Y. Wang, and Y. H. Ding, 2022: Impact of the western Pacific tropical easterly jet on tropical cyclone genesis frequency over the western North Pacific. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 39, 235-248, doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-1103-1 Zhao, J. W., R.-F. Zhan*, Y. Wang*, L. Jiang, and X. Huang, 2022: A multiscale-model-based near-term prediction of tropical cyclone genesis frequency in the Northern Hemisphere, J. Geophys. Res., 127, e2022JD037267, doi: 10.1029/2022JD037267. Zhou, Y. C., R.-F. Zhan*, Y. Q. Wang, Z. W. Wu, G. H. Chen, and L. Wang, 2022: Characteristics and controlling factors of rapid weakening of tropical cyclones after reaching their intensity peaks over the western North Pacific, J. Geophys. Res., 127, e2022JD036697, doi: 10.1029/2022JD036697. Zhou, Y. C., J. W. Zhao, R.-F. Zhan*, P. Y. Chen, Z. W. Wu, and L. Wang, 2021: A Logistic-Growth-Equation-based tropical cyclone intensity prediction scheme for the western North Pacific. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 38, 1750-1762, doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-0435-1 Hao, F., R.-F. Zhan*, Z. W. Wu, Y. Wang and J. W. Zhao, 2021: How does the Arctic sea ice affect the interannual variability of tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific? Front. Earth Sci. 9: 675150, doi: 10.3389/feart.2021.675150. Zhao, J. W.+, R.-F. Zhan+, and Y. Wang, S. P. Xie, and Q. Wu, 2020: Untangling impacts of global warming and Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation on long-term variability of North Pacific tropical cyclone track density. Science Advances, 6, eaba6813, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aba6813 Zhao, J. W., R.-F. Zhan*, and Y. Wang, 2020: Different responses of tropical cyclone tracks density in the western North Pacific and North Atlantic to two distinct SST warming patterns. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(7), doi: 10.1029/2019GL086923. Zhan, R.-F., Y. Wang, and J. W. Zhao, 2019: Contributions of SST anomalies in the Indo-Pacific Oceans to the interannual variability of tropical cyclone genesis frequency over the western North Pacific. Journal of Climate, 32, 3357–3372, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0439.1 Zhan, R.-F., B. D. Chen, and Y. H. Ding, 2018: Impacts of SST anomalies in the Indian-Pacific basin on the Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone activities during three Super El Niño years. Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 36(1), 20-32, doi: 10.1007/s00343-018-6312-9. Zhan, R.-F., Y. Wang, and J. W. Zhao, 2017: Intensified mega-ENSO increased the proportion of intense tropical cyclones over the western Northwest Pacific since the late 1970s. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(23), 11,959–11,966, doi: 10.1002/2017GL075916. Zhan, R.-F., Y. Wang, and Q. Y. Liu, 2017: Salient differences in tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific between 1998 and 2016. Journal of Climate, 30:24, 9979-9997, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0263.1. Zhan, R.-F., and Y. Wang, 2017: Weak tropical cyclones dominate the poleward migration of the mean location of lifetime maximum intensity of Northwest Pacific tropical cyclones since 1980. Journal of Climate, 30:17, 6873-6882, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0019.1. Zhan, R.-F.*, and Y. Wang, 2016: CFSv2-Based Statistical Prediction for Seasonal Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) over the Western North Pacific. Journal of Climate, 29:2, 525-541. Zhao, J. W., R.-F. Zhan*, and Y. Wang, 2016: Intensified Interannual Relationship between Tropical Cyclone Genesis Frequency over the Northwest Pacific and the SST Gradient between the Southwest Pacific and the Western Pacific Warm Pool since the Mid-1970s. Journal of Climate, 29:10, 3811-3830, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0729.1. Zhan R.-F., Y. H. Ding, L. G. Wu, X. T. Lei. 2016: Role of ENSO in the interannual relationship between Tibetan Plateau winter snow cover and Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone genesis frequency. Science China Earth Sciences,59(10): 2009-2021, doi: 10.1007/s11430-015-5559-y (占瑞芬, 丁一汇, 吴立广, 雷小途. 2016. ENSO在青藏高原积雪与西北太平洋热带气旋生成频数关系中的作用. 中国科学: 地球科学, 46:1358-1370, doi: 10.1360/N072015-00559) Zhan, R.-F., Y. Wang, and L. Tao, 2014: Intensified impact of East Indian Ocean SST anomaly on tropical cyclone genesis frequency over the western North Pacific. Journal of Climate, 27, 8724–8739. Zhan, R.-F., M. Ying, and P. Y. Chen, 2013: On tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific in 2012. Tropical cyclone Res. Rev., 2(1), 35-44. Zhan, R.-F., Y. Wang, and M. Wen, 2013: The SST gradient between the Southwest Pacific and the western Pacific warm pool – A new factor controlling the Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone genesis frequency. Journal of Climate, 26(7), 2408-2415. Zhan, R.-F., Y. Wang, and M. Ying, 2012: Seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific: A review. Tropical cyclone Res. Rev., 1, 307-324. 占瑞芬,李建平,2012:亚洲夏季平流层-对流层水汽交换年际变化与亚洲夏季风的联系,地球物理学报,55(10), 3181-3193. Zhan, R.-F., and Y. Wang, 2012: Contribution of tropical cyclones to stratosphere-troposphere exchange over the Northwest Pacific: An estimation based on AIRS and reanalysis. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D12112, doi:10.1029/2012JD017494. Wu, C.-C., R.-F. Zhan, Y. Lu, and Y. Wang, 2012: Internal variability of the dynamically downscaled tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific by the IPRC regional climate model. Journal of Climate, 25, 2123-2128. Zhan, R.-F., Y. Wang, and C.-C. Wu, 2011: Impact of SSTA in East Indian Ocean on the frequency of Northwest Pacific tropical cyclones: A regional atmospheric model study, Journal of Climate, 24, 6227-6242. Zhan, R.-F., Y. Wang, and X.-T. Lei, 2011: Contributions of ENSO and East Indian Ocean SSTA to the interannual variability of Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone frequency. Journal of Climate, 24, 509-521 Zhan, R.-F., and J. Li, 2008: Influence of atmospheric heat sources over the Tibetan Plateau and the tropical western North Pacific on the inter-decadal variations of the stratosphere-troposphere exchange of water vapor. Science in China, Ser D. 51(8), 1179-1193(中文版:占瑞芬, 李建平, 2008: 青藏高原和热带西北太平洋大气热源在亚洲地区夏季平流层-对流层水汽交换的年代际变化中的作用, 中国科学(D辑), 38(8), 1028-1040. Zhan, R.-F., J. Li, J. He, and Q. Li, 2008: A case study of double ridges of subtropical high over the western north Pacific: The role in the 1998 second Mei-yu over the Yangtze River valley. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 86(1), 167-181.

学术兼职

2022年7月—至今,Journal of Tropical Meteorology,编辑 2022年,世界气象组织(WMO)第十届国际台风研讨会台风季节预测工作组成员 2021年1月—至今,世界天气研究计划(WWRP)中国委员会委员 2020年,欧洲Frontiers in Earth Science,客座编辑 2018年,世界气象组织(WMO)第九届国际台风研讨会台风季节预测工作组成员/台风次季节预测工作组成员 2016年11月 —2018年12月,上海市气象局台风科技创新团队小组负责人 2015年1月 —2016年12月,美国Weather and Forecasting,助理编辑 2014年,世界气象组织(WMO)第八届国际台风研讨会台风季节预测工作组成员 国家自然科学基金委员会,评审专家 Nature, Nature Climate Change, Climate Dynamics, Journal of Climate, Weather and Forecasting, Monthly Weather Review, Geophysical Research Letters, Journal of Geophysical Research等SCI期刊,审稿人

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