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研究方向1：城市灾害风险评估理论、方法和应用示范研究
城市地区人类活动强度高，孕灾环境和承灾体特殊，大中尺度研究方法无法精细刻画城市灾害风险特征。研究团队从2005年开始，在国内较早涉猎沿海城市灾害风险研究，探索和发展了城市灾害风险评估的理论、方法，提高城市灾害风险评估的可操作性和评估结果的可靠性，为城市灾害风险防范提供关键依据，为完善城市安全规划与应急管理提供科学基础。
部分代表性成果(*为通讯作者)：
王军,叶明武,李响,许世远. 城市自然灾害风险评估与应急响应方法研究[M].北京:科学出版社, 2013.
Wang J(王军)*, Gao W, Xu SY, Yu LZ. Evaluation of the combined risk of sea level rise, land subsidence, and storm surges on the coastal areas of Shanghai, China[J]. Climatic Change? 2012, 115(3-4):537-558.(注：谷歌学术目前被引152次)
Wang J(王军)*, Yi S, Li M Y, Wang L, Song C C. Effects of sea level rise, land subsidence, bathymetric change and typhoon tracks on storm flooding in the coastal areas of Shanghai[J]. Science of The Total Environment, 2018, 621:228-234.
Tan J K(谭金凯), Liu HX, Li MY, Wang J(王军)*, A prediction scheme of tropical cyclone frequency based on lasso and random forest[J]. Theoretical & Applied Climatology, 2018, 133:973-983.
Li M Y(李梦雅), Wang J(王军)*, Sun X J. Scenario-based risk framework selection and assessment model development for natural disasters: a case study of typhoon storm surges[J]. Natural Hazards, 2016, 80(3): 2037-2054.
Wang J(王军)*, Dong JG, Huang J, Chen ZL, Xu SY. Evolution trend analysis of Nearshore seabed in Yangshan Deep-water Port, China[J]. Journal of Coastal Conservation: Planning and Management, 2014, 18(1):17-25.
Wang J(王军)*, Chen ZL, Xu SY, Hu BB. Medium-scale natural disaster risk scenario analysis: A case study of Pingyang County, Wenzhou, China[J]. Natural Hazards, 2013, 66(2):1205-1220.
Yin J(殷杰), Yu DP, Yin ZE, Wang J(王军), Xu SY. Modelling the combined impacts of sea-level rise and land subsidence on storm tides induced flooding of the Huangpu River in Shanghai, China[J]. Climatic Change, 2013, 119(3): 919-932.
Liu YL(刘耀龙), Chen ZL, Wang J(王军)*, Hu BB, Ye MW, Xu SY. Large-scale natural disaster risk scenario analysis: a case study of Wenzhou City, China[J]. Natural Hazards, 2012, 60(3):1287-1298.
Yin J(殷杰), Yin ZE, Wang J(王军), Xu SY. National assessment of coastal vulnerability to sea-level rise for the Chinese coast [J]. Journal of Coastal Conservation: Planning and Management, 2012, 16(1):123-133.
Liu YL(刘耀龙), Chen ZL, Wang J(王军)*, Xu SY, Hu BB. Fifty-year rainfall change and its effect on droughts and floods in Wenzhou China [J]. Natural Hazards, 2011, 56(1):131-143.
Wang J(王军)*, Xu SY, Ye MW, Huang J. The MIKE Model Application to Overtopping Risk Assessment of Seawalls and Levees in Shanghai [J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2011, 2(4): 32-42.
Shi Y(石勇), Shi C, Xu SY, Sun AL, Wang J(王军). Exposure assessment of rainstorm waterlogging on old-style residences in Shanghai based on scenario simulation [J]. Natural Hazards, 2010, 53: 259-272.
Hu BB(胡蓓蓓), Zhou J, Wang J(王军), Chen ZL, Wang DQ, Xu SY. Risk assessment of land subsidence at Tianjin coastal area in China [J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2009,59(2):269-276.
刘敏, 王军, 殷杰, 权瑞松, 余柏蒗, 唐曦, 张昆, 陈睿山. 上海城市安全与综合防灾系统研究[J]. 上海城市规划, 2016, (1):1-8.
宋城城, 李梦雅, 王军*, 许世远, 陈振楼. 基于复合情景的上海台风风暴潮灾害危险性模拟及其空间应对[J]. 地理科学进展,2014, 33(12):1692-1703.
许世远,王军,石纯,颜建平.沿海城市自然灾害风险研究[J].地理学报, 2006,61(2):127-138.
研究方向2：精细刻画城市内部灾害风险扩散机制，揭示灾害风险与城市系统的动态耦合关系
城市灾害风险的成因与影响取决于致灾因子和承灾体之间复杂的耦合关系。城市灾害风险研究多关注致灾因子的作用，在致灾因子危险性模拟与成灾机理探析方面积累了丰富成果。但是，关于承灾体如何响应致灾因子的影响，仍缺乏深入研究。研究团队在构建城市灾害风险理论与方法体系基础上，采用多学科交叉研究方法，进一步深化对城市灾害风险扩散机制的研究，以揭示灾害风险与城市系统的动态耦合关系，实现灾害风险对城市关键承灾体影响的精细刻画。
部分代表性成果(*为通讯作者)：
Li MY(李梦雅), Kwan Mei-Po, Yin J, Yu DP, Wang J(王军)*. The potential effect of a 100-year pluvial flood event on metro accessibility and ridership: A case study of central Shanghai, China[J]. Applied Geography, 2018, 100: 21-29.
Li MY(李梦雅), Kwan Mei-Po, Wang Fahui, Wang J(王军)*. Using points-of-interest data to estimate commuting patterns in central Shanghai[J]. Journal of Transport Geography, 2018, 72: 201-210.
Li MY(李梦雅), Huang QY, Wang L, Yin J, Wang J(王军)*. Modeling the Traffic Disruption Caused by Pluvial Flash Flood on Intra-urban Road Network[J]. Transactions in GIS, 2018, DOI: 10.1111/tgis.12311.
Hu WY(胡文燕), Tan JK, Li MY, Wang J(王军)*, Wang FH. Impact of traffic on the spatiotemporal variations of spatial accessibility of emergency medical services in inner-city Shanghai[J]. Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science, 2018, DOI: 10.1177/2399808318809711.
Huang QY(黄清雨), Wang J(王军)*, Li MY, Fei ML, Dong JG, Modeling the influence of urbanization on urban pluvial flooding: a scenario-based case study in Shanghai, China[J]. Natural Hazards, 2017, 87(2): 1035-1055.
Li M Y(李梦雅), Wu W, Wang J(王军)*, Che Z M, Xie Y L. Simulating and mapping the risk of surge floods in multiple typhoon scenarios: a case study of Yuhuan County, Zhejiang Province, China[J]. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 2017, 31(3): 645-659.
Yin J(殷杰), Yu DP, Yin ZE, Wang J(王军), Xu SY. Modelling the anthropogenic impacts on fluvial flood risks in a coastal mega-city: A scenario-based case study in Shanghai, China[J]. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2015, 136: 144-155.
Ye MW(叶明武), Wang J(王军)*, Huang J, Xu SY, Chen ZL. Methodology and its application for community-scale evacuation planning against earthquake disaster[J]. Natural Hazards, 2012, 61(3):881-892.
胡文燕, 李梦雅, 王军*, 黄清雨. 暴雨内涝影响下的城市道路交通拥挤特征识别[J]. 地理科学进展, 2018, 37(6): 772-780.
费茉莉, 刘苇航, 王席, 李梦雅, 黄清雨, 王军*. 城市暴雨内涝模拟模型优化与精度验证[J].地球信息科学学报,2017,19(7):895-900.
黄清雨, 董军刚, 李梦雅, 王军*. 暴雨内涝危险性情景模拟方法研究-以上海中心城区为例[J].地球信息科学学报,2016,18(4):506-513.
李梦雅, 王军*, 沈航. 洪灾应急疏散路径规划算法优化[J].地球信息科学学报, 2016, 18(3): 362-368.
沈航, 李梦雅, 王军*. 风暴洪水灾害应急疏散方法研究-以浙江省玉环县为例[J].地理与地理信息科学, 2016, 32(1):122-126.
研究方向3：灾害风险视域下的城市生态环境风险评估与人居环境安全保障对策研究
随着我国城市化进程中社会经济的高速发展和人口的迅速增长，生态环境问题日渐突出。区域性环境污染、生态屏障退化、突发环境危机事件等受到城市灾害风险与公共安全研究领域学者的高度重视。研究团队在构建城市灾害风险理论与方法基础上，进一步拓展研究视角，关注城市生态环境风险防控与周边生态屏障建设，开展灾害风险视域下的城市生态环境风险评估研究，为保障城市地区人居环境安全提供科学依据。
部分代表性成果(*为通讯作者)：
陈振楼, 王军,黄民生,许世远.城市河流污染治理共性技术集成与服务信息系统构建[M].北京:科学出版社, 2014.
Wang J(王军)*, Hu ZM, Chen YY, Chen ZL, Xu SY. Contamination characteristics and possible sources of PM10 and PM2.5 in different functional areas of Shanghai, China[J]. Atmospheric Environment, 2013, 68:221-229.(注：谷歌学术目前被引292次，为GeoSciences领域前1%高被引论文（ESI）)
Li CL(李春兰), Filh Walter Lealo, Wang J(王军)*, Yin J, Fedoruk M, et a. An assessment of the impacts of climate extremes on the vegetation in Mongolian Plateau: Using a scenarios-based analysis to support regional adaptation and mitigation options[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2018, 95: 805-814.
Li CL(李春兰), Wang J(王军)*, Hu RC, Yin S, Bao YH, Ayal Desalegn Y. Relationship between vegetation change and extreme climate indices on the Inner Mongolia Plateau, China, from 1982-2013[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2018, 89:101-109.
Li CL(李春兰), Wang J(王军)*, Liu M, Ayal Desalegn Y, Gong Q, Hu RC, Yin S, Bao YH. Scenario-based hazard analysis of extreme high-temperatures experienced between 1959 and 2014 in Hulunbuir, China[J]. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies, 2018, DOI 10.1108/IJCCSM-05-2017-0098.
Xu HQ(许瀚卿), Tian Z, He XG, Wang J(王军)*, Sun LX, Fischer G, Fan DL, Zhong HL, Wu W, Pope E, Kent C, Liu JG. Future increases in irrigation water requirement challenge the water-food nexus in the northeast farming region of China[J]. Agricultural Water Management, 2019, 213: 594-604.
Li CL(李春兰), Wang J(王军)*, Yin S, Bao YH, Li YW, Yu S. Drought hazard assessment and possible adaptation options for typical steppe grassland in Xilingol League, Inner Mongolia, China[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2018, DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2563-9.
Hu ZM, Wang J(王军)*, Chen YY, Chen ZL, Xu SY. Concentrations and source apportionment of particulate matter in different functional areas of Shanghai, China[J]. Atmospheric Pollution Research, 2014, 5(1):138-144, DOI: 10.5094/APR.2014.017.
Chen YY, Wang J(王军)*, Gao W, Sun XJ, Xu SY. Comprehensive analysis of heavy metals in soils from Baoshan District, Shanghai: a heavily industrialized area in China[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2012, 67(8):2331-2343, DOI:10.1007/s12665-012-1680-5.
Chen YY, Wang J(王军)*, Shi GT, Sun XJ, Chen ZL, Xu SY. Human health risk assessment of lead pollution in atmospheric deposition in Baoshan District, Shanghai[J]. Environmental Geochemistry and Health, 2011, 33(6):515-523, DOI: 10.1007/s10653-010-9368-9.
Wang J(王军), Chen ZL, Wang DQ, Sun XJ, Xu SY. Evaluation of dissolved inorganic nitrogen eliminating capability of the sediment in the tidal wetland of the Yangtze estuary [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2009, 19(4): 447-460, DOI:10.1007/s11442-009-0447-8.
Wang J(王军)*, Chen ZL, Sun XJ, Shi GT, Xu SY, Wang DQ, Wang L. Quantitative spatial characteristics and environmental risk of toxic heavy metals in urban dusts of Shanghai, China [J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2009, 59(3):645-654, DOI:10.1007/s12665-009-0061-1.
胡子梅,王军*,陶征楷,陈振楼.上海市PM2.5重金属污染水平与健康风险评价[J].环境科学学报, 2013, 33(12):3399-3406.
马婷婷,王军*,刘耀龙,孙小静,张梦莹.上海市宝山区城镇化对农业用地环境质量的影响[J].生态与农村环境学报,2010,26(5):413-418.
王军*,陈振楼,王初,叶明武,沈静.上海崇明岛蔬菜地土壤重金属含量与生态风险预警评估[J].环境科学,2007,28(3):647-653.
沈静,陈振楼,王军*,叶明武,许世远,王初.上海市崇明主要城镇生态环境安全预警初探[J].城市环境与城市生态, 2007,20(2):8-12.
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