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个人简介

马柱国,研究员/博士生导师,中科院特聘研究员/中国科学院大学岗位教授。1986年7月毕业于成都气象学院气象系,1989年在中国科学院兰州高原大气物理研究所获硕士学位,1999年在中国科学院大气物理研究所获博士学位。曾任中国科学院东亚区域气候-环境重点实验室主任(2009-2020),全球变化国家重大研究计划“973”项目首席科学家(2012-2016),国家重点研发计划《全球变化及应对》专项项目首席科学家(2016-2021),国家自然科学基金委重点基金负责人(2016-2020)。主持了科技部、基金委和科学院项目多项。研究兴趣集中在全球及区域干旱化的检测和形成机理、气候与水文过程的相互作用、区域气候的分析及模拟、区域模式的发展和应用、城市化对气候变化影响等方面。兼任科学院和教育部多个重点实验室学术委员会委员和《大气科学》等多个期刊的编委。完成和发表论文共计150余篇,其中SCI论文80余篇,2004年获得科学技术部重大基础研究计划“973”项目先进个人,2012、2016和2017年分别获得省部级奖励3项,与他人合作著作5部。 近年来的主要项目 国家重点研发计划“全球变化及应对”项目:气候多尺度变化与年代际重大事件的归因与预估(2016YFA0600400,2016-2021),项目首席科学家 国家自然科学基金重点项目:气候变化和人类活动对黄河流域“三水”转化过程的影响研究(41530532,2016-2020),主持人 全球变化研究国家重大研究计划“973”项目:全球典型干旱半干旱地区年代尺度气候变化的机理及其影响研究”(2012CB956200,2012-2016),项目首席科学家 国家自然科学基金面上项目:黄土高原退耕还林的区域气候及水文效应(41275085,2013-2016),主持人 近5年发表的论文(2016-2020))

研究领域

干旱、干旱化的检测与形成机理 全球及区域气候变化的分析与模拟 陆面过程与气候变化的相互作用 气候变化、人类活动与水循环变化

近期论文

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2020 Li Mingxing Peili Wu, Zhuguo Ma, Meixia Lv, Qing Yang(2020). Changes in soil moisture persistence in China over the past 40 years under a warming climate, Journal of Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0900.1 Omer, N.A. Elagib, M. Zhuguo, et al.(2020). Water scarcity in the Yellow River Basin under future climate change and human activities, Science of the Total Environment, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141446 Zhang Qiang, Yao Yubi, Li Yaohui LI, Huang Jianping, Ma Zhuguo, Wang Zhilan, Wang Suping, Wang Yingand Zhang Yu. (2020). Causes and Changes of Drought in China: Research Progress and Prospects, Journal of Meteorological Research, 34:460-481. Jian Dongnan, Zhuguo Ma, Liang Chen, Jianping Duan, Daniel Mitchell, Ziyan Zheng, Meixia Lv, Haoxin Zhang, Effects of 1.5℃and 2℃ of warming on regional reference evapotranspiration and drying: A case study of the Yellow River Basin, China, Int J Climatol., 2020, 1-20, DOI: 10.1002/joc.6667. Li Mingxing Peili Wu, Zhuguo Ma, A comprehensive evaluation of soil moisture and soil temperature from third-generation atmospheric and land reanalysis data sets, Int J Climatol. 2020;1–23. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6549 Omer, N. A., Ma Zhuguo, Ziyan Zheng, Farhan Saleem,Natural and anthropogenic influences on the recent droughts in Yellow River Basin, China,Science of the Total Environment 704 (2020) 135428,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.135428 Cao Fuqiang, Danli, Ma Zhuguo, Gao Tao, Assessing the regional climate impact on terrestrial ecosystem over East Asia using coupled models with land use and land cover forcing during 1980-2010., Scientific Reports, (2020) 10:2572 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-59503-4 马柱国, 符淙斌, 周天军, 等. 黄河流域气候与水文变化的现状及思考. 中国科学院院刊. 2020, 35(1): 52-60. 郑子彦, 吕美霞, 马柱国. 黄河源区气候水文和植被覆盖变化及面临问题的对策建议. 中国科学院院刊. 2020, 35(1): 61-72. 2019 Lv, M., Ma, Z., Li, M., & Zheng, Z. (2019). Quantitative analysis of terrestrial water storage changes under the Grain for Green program in the Yellow River basin. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 1336–1351. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029113 Duan, J., Ma, Z., Li, L., & Zheng, Z. (2019). August‐September temperature variability on the Tibetan Plateau: Past, present, and future. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 6057–6068. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030444 Duan J., Lun Li, Zhuguo Ma, Liang Chen (2019), Post-industrial late summer warming recorded in tree-ring density in the eastern Tibetan Plateau, Int J Climatol. 2019;1–10. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6239 Duan J., Peili Wu, Zhguguo Ma,(2019), Reconciling the discrepancy of post-volcanic cooling estimated from tree-ring reconstructions and model simulations over theTibetan Plateau, Atmosphere 2019, 10, 738; doi:10.3390/atmos10120738 Yang Q., Ma, Z., Wu, P., N. P. Klingaman and Zhang L. (2019). Interdecadal seesaw of precipitation variability between North China and the Southwest United States, J. Clim., 32, 2951-2968. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0082.1 Xu, W., Sun Chenghu, Zuo Jingqing, Ma Zhuguo, Li Weijing, And Yang Song (2019.Homogenization of monthly ground surface temperature in China during 1961–2016 and performances of GLDAS reanalysis products, J. Clim., 32, 1121-1135.DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0275.1 Lv Meixia, Ma Zhguo, Chen Liang, and Peng Shaoming. (2019). Evapotranspiration reconstruction based on land surface models and observed water budget components while considering irrigation, J. Hydrometeor., 20, 2161-2183.DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0090.1 Lv Meixia, Zhuguo MA & Shaoming PENG (2019): Responses of terrestrial water cycle components to afforestation within and around the Yellow River basin, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, DOI: 10.1080/16742834.2019.1569456 Hu, Z, Xu, Z, Ma, Z*, Mahmood, R, Yang, Z. (2019). Potential surface hydrologic responses to increases in greenhouse gas concentrations and land use and land cover changes, Int J Climatol.: 2019 ,39 ,814–827.doi:10.1002/joc.5844 Cao Fuqiang, Tao Gao, Li Dan, Zhuguo Ma, Xiujing Yang, Fuqiang Yang.(2019). Contribution of large-scale circulation anomalies to variability of summer precipitation extremes in northeast China, Atmos Sci Lett.,1-11https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.867 Guan X, Ma J, Huang J, Huang R, Zhang L, Ma Z. (2019). Impact of oceans on climate change in drylands, Science China Earth Sciences: 2019 ,62 ,891–908, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-018-9317-8 Duan Jianping, Zhuguo Ma, Peili Wu, Elena Xoplaki, Gabriele Hegerl, Lun Li, Andrew Schurer, Dabo Guan, Liang Chen, Yawen Duan and Jürg Luterbacher.(2019). Detection of human influences on temperature seasonality from the nineteenth century, Nature Suctainability, 2,484-490, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0276-4 Zhong Linhao, Lijuan Hua, Ma Zhuguo, Yao Yao. (2019). A quantitative study of moisture transport variation on the interdecadal variation of the summer precipitation in South China from 1979 to 2015, Climate Dynamics: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04822-0 Cao, FQ, Gao, T, Dan, L.; Ma, ZG.,et al (2019). Synoptic-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies associated with summertime daily precipitation extremes in the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River Basin, Climate Dynamics, 53(5-6), 3109-3129. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04687-3 Duan Jianping, Zhuguo Ma, Naiming Yuan, Lun Li, Liang Chen, (2019). Extremes in the magnitude of annual temperature cycle on the Tibetan Plateau over the past three centuries, Climate Dynamics, 52, 3599–3608. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4346-5 Zhang, X., Li M.X., Ma Z.G. et al, (2019). Assessment of an evapotranspiration deficit drought index in relation to impacts on ecosystems, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 36(11), 1273-1287. DOI: 10.1007/s00376-019-9061-6 2018 Chen, L., Z. G. Ma, Z. H. Li, L. Wu, J. Flemke, and Y. P. Li, 2018: Dynamical Downscaling of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes in China under Current and Future Climates, Atmosphere-Ocean, 56(1), 55-70, doi:10.1080/07055900.2017.1422691. Duan, Y. W., P. L. Wu, X. L. Chen, and Z. G. Ma, 2018: Assessing Global Warming Induced Changes in Summer Rainfall Variability over Eastern China Using the Latest Hadley Centre Climate Model HadGEM3-GC2, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(8), 1077-1093, doi:10.1007/s00376-018-7264-x. Jiang, X. L., F. M. Ren, Y. J. Li, W. Y. Qiu, Z. G. Ma, and Q. B. Cai, 2018: Characteristics and Preliminary Causes of Tropical Cyclone Extreme Rainfall Events over Hainan Island, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(5), 580-591, doi:10.1007/s00376-017-7051-0. Li, M. X., and Z. G. Ma, 2018: Decadal changes in summer precipitation over arid northwest China and associated atmospheric circulations, International Journal of Climatology, 38(12), 4496-4508, doi:10.1002/joc.5682. Lv, M. X., Z. G. Ma*, and M. Z. Lv, 2018: Effects of Climate/Land Surface Changes on Streamflow With Consideration of Precipitation Intensity and Catchment Characteristics in the Yellow River Basin, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 123(4), 1942-1958, doi:10.1002/2017jd027625. Duan Jianping, Lun Li, Zhuguo Ma, Jan Esper, Ulf Büntgen, Elena Xoplaki, Dujuan Zhang, Lily Wang, Hong Yin, and Jürg Luterbacher, 2018: Summer Cooling Driven by Large Volcanic Eruptions over the Tibetan Plateau, J.Clim., 31:9869-9878 Zhang Hongquan, Ma Zhuguo, Stability and tilting of regional water cycle over Tarim Basin. Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS), 2018, 379, 31-36. DOI: 10.5194/piahs-379-31-2018 马柱国,符淙斌,杨庆,郑子彦,吕美霞,李明星,段亚雯,陈亮.2018: 关于我国北方干旱化及其转折性变化[J].大气科学,42(04):951-961. 陈亮,段建平,马柱国.2018:大气环流形势客观分型及其与中国降水的联系[J].地球科学进展,33(04):396-403. 胡祖恒,徐忠峰,马柱国.2018: 欧洲地区不同温室气体背景下土地利用/覆盖变化的气候效应[J].气候与环境研究,23(02):176-184. 张霞,李明星,马柱国.2018: 近30年全球干旱半干旱区的蒸散变化特征[J].大气科学,42(02):251-267. 2017 Chen, L., Z. G. Ma, R. Mahmood, T. B. Zhao, Z. H. Li, and Y. P. Li, 2017: Recent land cover changes and sensitivity of the model simulations to various land cover datasets for China, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 129(4), 395-408, doi:10.1007/s00703-016-0478-5. Chen, L., Z. G. Ma, and T. B. Zhao, 2017: Modeling and analysis of the potential impacts on regional climate due to vegetation degradation over arid and semi-arid regions of China, Climatic Change, 144(3), 461-473, doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1847-2. Duan, Y. W., Z. G. Ma, and Q. Yang, 2017: Characteristics of consecutive dry days variations in China, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 130(1-2), 701-709, doi:10.1007/s00704-016-1984-6. Chen Liang, Zhu-Guo Ma, Tian-Bao Zhao, Zhen-Hua Li & Yan-Ping Li (2017) Simulation of the regional climatic effect of irrigation over the Yellow River Basin, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 10:4, 291-297, DOI: 10.1080/16742834.2017.1313681 Hua, L. J., L. H. Zhong, and Z. G. Ma, 2017: Decadal Transition of Moisture Sources and Transport in Northwestern China During Summer From 1982 to 2010, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 122(23), 12522-12540, doi:10.1002/2017jd027728. Li, M. X., Z. G. Ma, H. P. Gu, Q. Yang, and Z. Y. Zheng, 2017: Production of a combined land surface data set and its use to assess land-atmosphere coupling in China, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 122(2), 948-965, doi:10.1002/2016jd025511. Li, M. X., Z. G. Ma, and M. X. Lv, 2017: Variability of modeled runoff over China and its links to climate change, Climatic Change, 144(3), 433-445, doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1593-x. Yang, Q., M. X. Li, Z. Y. Zheng, and Z. G. Ma*, 2017: Regional applicability of seven meteorological drought indices in China, Science China-Earth Sciences, 60(4), 745-760, doi:10.1007/s11430-016-5133-5. Yang, Q., Z. G. Ma, X. G*. Fan, Z. L. Yang, Z. F. Xu, and P. L. Wu, 2017: Decadal Modulation of Precipitation Patterns over Eastern China by Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies, Journal of Climate, 30(17), 7017-7033, doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0793.1. Yang, Q., Z. G. Ma*, and B. L. Xu, 2017: Modulation of monthly precipitation patterns over East China by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Climatic Change, 144(3), 405-417, doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1662-9. Yang, Q., Z. G. Ma, Z. Y. Zheng, and Y. W. Duan, 2017: Sensitivity of Potential Evapotranspiration Estimation to the Thornthwaite and Penman-Monteith Methods in the Study of Global Drylands, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 34(12), 1381-1394, doi:10.1007/s00376-017-6313-1. Huang,J.Y.Li,C.Fu, F. Chen, Q. Fu, A.Dai, M.Shinoda, Z.Ma, W.Guo,Z. Li, L. Zhang, Y. Liu, H.Yu, Y.He, Y.Xie, X. Guan, M. Ji, L. Lin, S. Wang,H. Yan, and G.Wang, 2017:Dryland climate change: Recent progress and challenges, Rev. Geophys., 55, 719–778,doi:10.1002/2016RG000550 Lv, M. X., Z. G. Ma*, X. Yuan, M. Z. Lv, M. X. Li, and Z. Y. Zheng, 2017: Water budget closure based on GRACE measurements and reconstructed evapotranspiration using GLDAS and water use data for two large densely-populated mid-latitude basins, Journal of Hydrology, 547, 585-599, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.02.027. Shan, Y. L., H. R. Zheng, D. B. Guan, C. M. Li, Z. F. Mi, J. Meng, H. Schroeder, J. B. Ma, and Z. G. Ma, 2017: Energy consumption and CO2 emissions in Tibet and its cities in 2014, Earth Future, 5(8), 854-864, doi:10.1002/2017ef000571. Yang, Z. L., and Z. G. Ma, 2017: Foreword to the special issue: decadal scale drought in arid regions, Climatic Change, 144(3), 389-390, doi:10.1007/s10584-017-2050-9. Zheng, Z. Y., Z. G. Ma, M. X. Li, and J. J. Xia, 2017: Regional water budgets and hydroclimatic trend variations in Xinjiang from 1951 to 2000, Climatic Change, 144(3), 447-460, doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1842-7 Ogou Faustin Katchele, Zhu Guo Ma*, Qing Yang, Kpaikpai Batebana. 2017:Comparison of trends and frequencies of drought in central North China and sub-Saharan Africa from 1901 to 2010. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett. 10 (6): 418-426 胡祖恒,徐忠峰,马柱国.北半球温室气体和土地利用/覆盖变化对地面气温日较差的影响[J].气象,2017,43(12):1453-1460. 朱江,马柱国,严中伟,袁星,符淙斌.气候变化背景下雄安新区发展中面临的问题[J].中国科学院院刊,2017,32(11):1231-1236. 韩云环,郑子彦,肖宇,马柱国.基于统计年鉴和MODIS的中国区域土地利用/覆盖变化特征研究[J].气候与环境研究,2017,22(06):733-746. 徐芳,李晓轩,王晓明,马柱国.在融合科学领域开展协同设计与协同实施的思考与建议[J].气候变化研究进展,2017,13(04):405-406. 徐保梁,杨庆,马柱国.全球不同空间尺度陆地年降水的年代尺度变化特征[J].大气科学,2017,41(03):593-602. 蒋贤玲,任福民,马柱国,蔡亲波.2014年两次路径相似热带气旋降水特征及其成因的对比[J].地球物理学报,2017,60(04):1305-1320. 杨庆,李明星,郑子彦,马柱国*.7种气象干旱指数的中国区域适应性[J].中国科学:地球科学,2017,47(03):337-353. 肖宇,马柱国,李明星.陆面模式中土壤湿度影响蒸散参数化方案的评估[J].大气科学,2017,41(01):132-146. 2016 Yuan X., F. Ma, L. Y. Wang, Z. Y. Zheng, Z. G. Ma, A. Z. Ye and S. M. Peng.,2016:An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin-Part 1: Understanding the role of initial hydrological conditions,Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.,20 ,2437-2451 Lv, Meixia, Zhenchun Hao, Zhaohui Lin, Zhuguo Ma, Meizhao Lv, and Jiahu Wang, 2016:Reservoir Operationwith Feedback in a Coupled Land Surface and Hydrologic Model: A Case Study of the Huai River Basin, China. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 52(1): 168-183. Gu, H. P., Z. G. Ma*, and M. X. Li, 2016: Effect of a large and very shallow lake on local summer precipitation over the Lake Taihu basin in China, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(15), 8832-8848, doi:10.1002/2015jd024098. 马思源, 朱克云, 李明星, 马柱国. 2016. 中国区域多源土壤湿度数据的比较研究. 气候与环境研究, 21 (2): 121−133

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