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Fluctuating renal function and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation: a nationwide population-based study.
Scientific Reports ( IF 3.8 ) Pub Date : 2019-12-02 , DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-54528-w
Soonil Kwon 1 , So-Ryoung Lee 1 , Eue-Keun Choi 1 , Kyung-Do Han 2 , Seokhun Yang 1 , Seo-Young Lee 1 , Hyun-Jung Lee 1 , Inki Moon 1 , Euijae Lee 1 , Myung-Jin Cha 1 , Woo-Hyun Lim 3 , Seil Oh 1 , Gregory Y H Lip 4, 5
Affiliation  

Although chronic kidney disease is known to increase the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), the impact of the variability of renal function on the risk of incident AF is unknown. We aimed to evaluate the association between variability of renal function and the risk of developing AF among the general population. We evaluated a total of 3,551,249 adults who had three annual health check-ups provided by the National Health Insurance Service. The variability of renal function was defined as GFR-VIM, which is variability independent of the mean (VIM) of creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). The study population was divided into four groups (Q1-4) based on the quartiles of GFR-VIM, and the risks of incident AF by each group were compared. During a mean of 3.2 ± 0.5 years follow-up, incident AF occurred in 15,008 (0.42%) subjects. The incidence rates of AF increased from Q1 to Q4 (0.98, 1.42, 1.27, and 1.63 per 1,000 person-years, respectively). Adjusting with multiple variables, Q4 showed an increased risk of incident AF compared to Q1 (hazard ratio (HR) 1.125, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.071-1.181). Variability of serum creatinine or other definitions of variability showed consistent results. On subgroup analyses, Q4 in males or those with a decreasing trend of eGFR had significantly increased risks of incident AF compared to Q1 (HR 1.127, 95% CI 1.082-1.175; and HR 1.115, 95% CI 1.059-1.173, respectively). High variability of eGFR was associated with an increased risk of incident AF, particularly in males or those with decreasing trends of eGFR during follow-up.

中文翻译:

肾功能波动和发生心房颤动的风险:一项基于全国的人口研究。

尽管已知慢性肾脏疾病会增加房颤(AF)的风险,但尚不清楚肾功能变异性对发生房颤的风险的​​影响。我们旨在评估一般人群中肾功能变异性与发生房颤风险之间的关联。我们评估了3,551,249名成年人,他们接受了美国国家健康保险局(National Health Insurance Service)提供的三项年度健康检查。肾功能的变异性定义为GFR-VIM,其变异性独立于基于肌酐的估计肾小球滤过率(eGFR)的平均值(VIM)。根据GFR-VIM的四分位数,将研究人群分为四组(Q1-4),并比较每组发生房颤的风险。在平均3.2±0.5年的随访期间,有15008(0.42%)名受试者发生房颤。房颤的发生率从第一季度增加到第四季度(每千人年分别为0.98、1.42、1.27和1.63)。与多个变量一起进行调整后,与第1季度相比,第4季度显示出发生房颤的风险增加(危险比(HR)1.125,95%置信区间(CI)1.071-1.181)。血清肌酐的变异性或其他变异性定义显示出一致的结果。在亚组分析中,与Q1相比,男性或eGFR趋势下降的Q4患AF的风险显着增加(分别为HR 1.127,95%CI 1.082-1​​.175; HR 1.115,95%CI 1.059-1.173)。eGFR的高变异性与AF发生风险增加有关,特别是在男性或随访期间eGFR趋势降低的男性。分别)。与多个变量一起进行调整后,与第1季度相比,第4季度显示出发生房颤的风险增加(危险比(HR)1.125,95%置信区间(CI)1.071-1.181)。血清肌酐的变异性或其他变异性定义显示出一致的结果。在亚组分析中,与Q1相比,男性或eGFR下降趋势的Q4患房颤的风险显着增加(HR 1.127,95%CI 1.082-1​​.175; HR 1.115,95%CI 1.059-1.173)。eGFR的高变异性与AF发生风险增加有关,特别是在男性或随访期间eGFR趋势降低的男性。分别)。与多个变量一起进行调整后,与第1季度相比,第4季度显示出发生房颤的风险增加(危险比(HR)1.125,95%置信区间(CI)1.071-1.181)。血清肌酐的变异性或其他变异性定义显示出一致的结果。在亚组分析中,与Q1相比,男性或eGFR下降趋势的Q4患房颤的风险显着增加(HR 1.127,95%CI 1.082-1​​.175; HR 1.115,95%CI 1.059-1.173)。eGFR的高变异性与AF发生风险增加有关,特别是在男性或随访期间eGFR趋势降低的男性。血清肌酐的变异性或其他变异性定义显示出一致的结果。在亚组分析中,与Q1相比,男性或eGFR趋势下降的Q4患AF的风险显着增加(分别为HR 1.127,95%CI 1.082-1​​.175; HR 1.115,95%CI 1.059-1.173)。eGFR的高变异性与AF发生风险增加有关,特别是在男性或随访期间eGFR趋势降低的男性。血清肌酐的变异性或其他变异性定义显示出一致的结果。在亚组分析中,与Q1相比,男性或eGFR下降趋势的Q4患房颤的风险显着增加(HR 1.127,95%CI 1.082-1​​.175; HR 1.115,95%CI 1.059-1.173)。eGFR的高变异性与AF发生风险增加有关,特别是在男性或随访期间eGFR趋势降低的男性。
更新日期:2019-12-02
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