Radical transformation pathway towards sustainable electricity via evolutionary steps.,Nature Communications

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Radical transformation pathway towards sustainable electricity via evolutionary steps.
Nature Communications ( IF 14.7 ) Pub Date : 2019-03-06 , DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-08855-1
Dmitrii Bogdanov ₁ , Javier Farfan ₁ , Kristina Sadovskaia ₁ , Arman Aghahosseini ₁ , Michael Child ₁ , Ashish Gulagi ₁ , Ayobami Solomon Oyewo ₁ , Larissa de Souza Noel Simas Barbosa ₂ , Christian Breyer ₁

Affiliation

A transition towards long-term sustainability in global energy systems based on renewable energy resources can mitigate several growing threats to human society simultaneously: greenhouse gas emissions, human-induced climate deviations, and the exceeding of critical planetary boundaries. However, the optimal structure of future systems and potential transition pathways are still open questions. This research describes a global, 100% renewable electricity system, which can be achieved by 2050, and the steps required to enable a realistic transition that prevents societal disruption. Modelling results show that a carbon neutral electricity system can be built in all regions of the world in an economically feasible manner. This radical transformation will require steady but evolutionary changes for the next 35 years, and will lead to sustainable and affordable power supply globally.

中文翻译：

通过进化步骤实现可持续电力的根本性转变途径。

向基于可再生能源的全球能源系统中的长期可持续性过渡可以同时缓解对人类社会日益增长的多种威胁：温室气体排放，人为导致的气候偏差以及超出关键的行星边界。但是，未来系统的最佳结构和潜在的过渡途径仍是未解决的问题。这项研究描述了到2050年可以实现的全球100％可再生电力系统，以及实现防止社会破坏的现实过渡所需的步骤。建模结果表明，可以经济可行的方式在世界所有地区建立碳中和电力系统。在接下来的35年中，这种根本性的转变将需要稳定但不断发展的变化，

更新日期：2019-03-06

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