The global energy situation is about to change at an accelerating pace and society is largely unprepared. Common energy analyses, such as the International Energy Agency's “World Energy Outlook”, do not take into account foreseeable supply mismatches from conventional primary energy sources. It is thus the purpose of this paper to provide a progressive view based on an accelerated transition to renewable energies in the framework of LBST's “Alternative World Energy Outlook”. A transition to renewable energies appears feasible; however, with an intermediate period with limited supplies between 2015 and 2025. Furthermore, the potential role of hydrogen as a secondary energy carrier is reflected in this context. Hydrogen used for transportation can increase the penetration of intermittent renewable energy sources through offering the ability to convert electricity to fuel.

中文翻译：

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《替代世界能源展望》（AWEO）和氢在不断变化的能源格局中的作用

全球能源形势将以加速的步伐变化，社会在很大程度上没有做好准备。诸如国际能源署的《世界能源展望》等常见能源分析并未考虑到传统一次能源可预见的供应不匹配。因此，本文的目的是在LBST的“替代性世界能源展望”框架内，基于加速向可再生能源过渡的过程，提供一个渐进的观点。向可再生能源过渡似乎是可行的。但是，在2015年至2025年之间的中间阶段，供应有限。此外，在这种情况下，还反映了氢作为次要能源载体的潜在作用。