Purpose

The European Union (EU) and European companies are striving for net-zero carbon targets by 2050 and are therefore focused on urgent decarbonization efforts. Manufacturing contributes to 20% of European carbon emissions, although the primary challenge lies in supply chain (SC) emissions, which highlights the field's need to transform. Amid the dissonance between public and private net-zero commitments and persistent carbon emissions, uncertainties surround the development of net-zero carbon supply chains (NZCSCs). This paper aims to address this lack of knowledge by presenting an exploration of the development of NZCSCs within the EU through 2050.

Design/methodology/approach

Using a real-time Delphi methodology and tool from durvey.org, this study involves a multiphase panel discussion process with 67 SC and sustainability experts. Twelve prospective theses for NZCSC development in the EU were formulated through desk research, interviews and an expert workshop. The panel assessed these theses in terms of impact, desirability and anticipated occurrence year and provided justification for their evaluations.

Findings

The study identifies three clusters that influence NZCSC development, comprising 68 implications that scholars, managers and policymakers should consider during this transition.

Originality/value

This study contributes to the available information regarding NZCSCs by offering insights from a multilevel perspective into the influences on NZCSC development in the EU's manufacturing sector.

中文翻译：

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在欧洲制造业发展净零碳供应链 – 多层次视角

 目的

欧盟 （EU） 和欧洲公司正在努力实现到 2050 年实现净零碳目标，因此专注于紧急的脱碳工作。制造业占欧洲碳排放量的 20%，但主要挑战在于供应链 （SC） 排放，这凸显了该行业需要转型。在公共和私人净零承诺与持续碳排放之间的不协调中，净零碳供应链 （NZCSCs） 的发展存在不确定性。本文旨在通过探索到 2050 年欧盟内部 NZCSC 的发展来解决这种知识缺乏问题。

设计/方法/方法

本研究使用 durvey.org 的实时 Delphi 方法和工具，涉及与 67 名 SC 和可持续发展专家的多阶段小组讨论过程。通过案头研究、访谈和专家研讨会，制定了 12 篇关于欧盟 NZCSC 发展的前瞻性论文。该小组从影响、可取性和预期发生年份方面评估了这些论点，并为他们的评估提供了理由。

 发现

该研究确定了影响 NZCSC 发展的三个集群，包括学者、管理者和政策制定者在过渡期间应考虑的 68 个影响。

 原创性/价值

本研究从多层次的角度深入了解对欧盟制造业 NZCSC 发展的影响，从而有助于提供有关 NZCSC 的可用信息。