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The future extent of the Anthropocene epoch: A synthesis
Global and Planetary Change ( IF 4.0 ) Pub Date : 2024-09-12 , DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104568 C.P. Summerhayes, J. Zalasiewicz, M.J. Head, J. Syvitski, A.D. Barnosky, A. Cearreta, B. Fiałkiewicz-Kozieł, J. Grinevald, R. Leinfelder, F.M.G. McCarthy, J.R. McNeill, Y. Saito, M. Wagreich, C.N. Waters, M. Williams, J. Zinke
Global and Planetary Change ( IF 4.0 ) Pub Date : 2024-09-12 , DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104568 C.P. Summerhayes, J. Zalasiewicz, M.J. Head, J. Syvitski, A.D. Barnosky, A. Cearreta, B. Fiałkiewicz-Kozieł, J. Grinevald, R. Leinfelder, F.M.G. McCarthy, J.R. McNeill, Y. Saito, M. Wagreich, C.N. Waters, M. Williams, J. Zinke
We synthesize research from complementary scientific fields to address the likely future extent and duration of the proposed Anthropocene epoch. Intensification of human-forced climate change began from about 1970 onwards with steepening increases in greenhouse gases, ocean acidification, global temperature and sea level, along with ice loss. The resulting distinction between relatively stable Holocene climatic conditions and those of the proposed Anthropocene epoch is substantial, with many aspects irreversible. The still-rising trajectory of greenhouse gas emissions is leading to yet greater and more permanent divergence of the Anthropocene from the Holocene Earth System. We focus here on the effects of the ensuing climate transformation and its impact on the likely duration of this novel state of the Earth System.
中文翻译:
人类世时代的未来范围:综合
我们综合了来自互补科学领域的研究,以解决拟议的人类世时代可能的未来范围和持续时间。人为强迫的气候变化从 1970 年左右开始加剧,温室气体急剧增加、海洋酸化、全球温度和海平面以及冰层流失。由此产生的相对稳定的全新世气候条件与拟议的人类世时期的气候条件之间的差异是巨大的,在许多方面是不可逆的。温室气体排放的持续上升轨迹正在导致人类世与全新世地球系统发生更大、更持久的分歧。我们在这里关注随之而来的气候转变的影响及其对地球系统这种新状态可能持续时间的影响。
更新日期:2024-09-12
中文翻译:
人类世时代的未来范围:综合
我们综合了来自互补科学领域的研究,以解决拟议的人类世时代可能的未来范围和持续时间。人为强迫的气候变化从 1970 年左右开始加剧,温室气体急剧增加、海洋酸化、全球温度和海平面以及冰层流失。由此产生的相对稳定的全新世气候条件与拟议的人类世时期的气候条件之间的差异是巨大的,在许多方面是不可逆的。温室气体排放的持续上升轨迹正在导致人类世与全新世地球系统发生更大、更持久的分歧。我们在这里关注随之而来的气候转变的影响及其对地球系统这种新状态可能持续时间的影响。