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The 25in25 initiative: A novel transformative project to reduce mortality due to heart failure by 25% in the next 25 years
European Journal of Heart Failure ( IF 16.9 ) Pub Date : 2024-10-25 , DOI: 10.1002/ejhf.3496
Henry Oluwasefunmi Savage, Kyle McBeath, Janine Hogan, Lynn MacKay‐Thomas, Lisa Anderson, Andy Smith, Joanne Bateman, Poppy Brooks, Antoni Bayes‐Genis, Amanda Vest, John Teerlink, Giuseppe Rosano, Roy S Gardner

Introduction

We are at a crucial point in time for those with cardiovascular diseases such as heart failure (HF).

An estimated 64.3 million people are living with HF worldwide.1 In developed countries, the prevalence of diagnosed HF is estimated at 1–2% of the adult population,2, 3 and with factors such as our expanding ageing population, figures are set to double by 2040 (Figure 1).

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Figure 1
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Projected total number of diagnosed cases for the 10 conditions with the highest impact on healthcare use and mortality among those aged 30 years and older, including demographic changes, England, 2019 and projected for 2040. Attrib. Health Foundation REAL Centre.13 Analysis of linked healthcare records and mortality data conducted by the REAL Centre and the University of Liverpool. Red shaded bars represent uncertainty intervals. COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Heart failure is a final common pathway for almost all cardiovascular diseases, but also a significant cause of mortality across the wider cardio-renal-metabolic spectrum. Over 90% of those who are diagnosed with HF are living with at least one other long-term condition4 such as diabetes, kidney disease, high blood pressure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and depression. From epidemiology to pathophysiology, there is a large multi-specialty and multi-disciplinary overlap.

Diagnosing HF, however, remains a challenge. Eighty per cent of patients receive their diagnosis during an emergency admission.5 This is even though up to 40% of these patients had symptoms many months prior to that admission which should have triggered an earlier assessment.5 Delayed diagnosis has a significant impact on mortality and spending. One in three of these patients do not survive up to 1 year and inpatient costs are a significant driver of expenditure for HF care, which itself accounts for almost 2% (€2.3 billion) of the entire National Health Service (NHS) budget.6

Many patients with HF remain undetected and undiagnosed. In the UK alone, it is estimated that around 400 000 people who have HF remain without a documented diagnosis. These patients are disproportionately at risk of socioeconomic deprivation and associated worse outcomes, including more frequent exacerbations, repeated hospital admissions and increased HF mortality.7 The undetected and undiagnosed are deprived of life-preserving HF treatments. The human and economic costs are huge. It is time for action.



中文翻译:


25in25 计划:一个新颖的变革性项目,旨在在未来 25 年内将心力衰竭死亡率降低 25%


 介绍


对于患有心力衰竭 (HF) 等心血管疾病的人来说,我们正处于一个关键时刻。


据估计,全世界有 6430 万人患有 HF。1 在发达国家,诊断出的 HF 患病率估计占成年人口的 1-2%,2,3 并且由于人口老龄化等因素,到 2040 年,这一数字将翻一番( 1)。

Details are in the caption following the image
 图 1

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对 30 岁及以上人群的医疗保健使用和死亡率影响最大的 10 种疾病的预计诊断病例总数,包括人口变化,英格兰,2019 年和预计 2040 年。健康基金会 REAL 中心。13 REAL 中心和利物浦大学对链接的医疗记录和死亡率数据进行了分析。红色阴影条表示不确定性区间。COPD,慢性阻塞性肺疾病。


心力衰竭是几乎所有心血管疾病的最终常见途径,也是更广泛的心肾代谢谱系中死亡的重要原因。超过 90% 的被诊断患有 HF 的人至少患有另一种长期疾病4,例如糖尿病、肾病、高血压、慢性阻塞性肺病和抑郁症。从流行病学到病理生理学,存在大量的多专业和多学科重叠。


然而,诊断 HF 仍然是一个挑战。80% 的患者在紧急入院期间得到诊断。5 尽管这些患者中高达 40% 的患者在入院前数月就出现了症状,这应该触发早期评估。5 延迟诊断对死亡率和支出有重大影响。其中三分之一的患者无法存活长达 1 年,住院费用是 HF 护理支出的重要驱动力,其本身就占整个国家医疗服务体系 (NHS) 预算的近 2%(23 亿欧元)。6


许多 HF 患者仍未被发现和诊断。仅在英国,估计就有大约 400 000 名 HF 患者仍然没有记录在案的诊断。这些患者不成比例地面临社会经济剥夺和相关更糟糕结果的风险,包括更频繁的恶化、反复住院和 HF 死亡率增加。7 未被发现和未确诊的人被剥夺了挽救生命的 HF 治疗。人力和经济成本是巨大的。现在是采取行动的时候了。

更新日期:2024-10-25
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