Coastal landscapes are rapidly changing due to both climate change and the decisions of waterfront landowners. For instance, the climate-driven encroachment of woody mangrove species into grassy marshland areas is predicted to impact coastal ecosystems, with consequences for the ecosystem services these landscapes provide to people. However, there is a dearth of knowledge concerning coastal resident perceptions of the effects of mangrove expansion on wetlands and their ecosystem services, which may impact residents’ behavior around shorelines and landscape-level patterns. We surveyed waterfront residents in the northern Gulf of Mexico (USA) to understand perceptions of the relative performance of marshes and mangroves to deliver fisheries ecosystem services. Residential-scale shoreline condition and preference, recreational fishing activity, geography, and demographics were evaluated as potential predictors of resident perceptions through non-parametric comparisons across groups and ordered logit modeling. Significant predictors included area of residence, marsh shoreline condition, marsh shoreline preference, fishing frequency, and household income. Florida residents (where mangroves are most prevalent) and frequent recreational fishing participants exhibited stronger preference for mangroves. Unexpectedly, residents with marsh currently present on their shoreline also perceived that mangroves were better at delivering fisheries ecosystem services than marshes. Considering the important role that coastal residents play in shoreline management decisions, these results demonstrate how coastal resident attitudes may drive or mediate climate-driven processes in ways that are not evident by examining environmental conditions alone. Understanding social-ecological shifts due to climate change will be important to inform effective landscape management that promotes resilience in coastal ecosystems and societies.

中文翻译：

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从沼泽到红树林：住宅调查揭示了湿地对生态系统服务的权衡取舍


由于气候变化和滨水土地所有者的决定，沿海景观正在迅速变化。例如，预计气候驱动的木本红树林物种侵占草地沼泽地将影响沿海生态系统，从而对这些景观为人类提供的生态系统服务产生影响。然而，关于沿海居民对红树林扩张对湿地及其生态系统服务的影响的看法，目前还缺乏知识，这可能会影响居民在海岸线周围的行为和景观层面的模式。我们调查了墨西哥湾 （USA） 北部的海滨居民，以了解他们对沼泽和红树林在提供渔业生态系统服务方面的相对表现的看法。通过跨组非参数比较和有序 logit 建模，将住宅规模的海岸线状况和偏好、休闲钓鱼活动、地理和人口统计数据评估为居民感知的潜在预测因子。显著预测因素包括居住面积、沼泽海岸线状况、沼泽海岸线偏好、捕鱼频率和家庭收入。佛罗里达州居民（红树林最普遍的地方）和经常休闲钓鱼的参与者对红树林表现出更强烈的偏好。出乎意料的是，目前海岸线上有沼泽的居民还认为，红树林比沼泽更能提供渔业生态系统服务。考虑到沿海居民在海岸线管理决策中发挥的重要作用，这些结果表明沿海居民的态度如何以仅通过检查环境条件并不明显的方式驱动或调解气候驱动的过程。 了解气候变化引起的社会生态变化对于为有效的景观管理提供信息以促进沿海生态系统和社会的复原力非常重要。