Do life-course transitions in adulthood shape political orientations? One framework suggests that life events expose people to new information, allowing actors to assess their political beliefs and preferences in response to these social experiences. An alternative framework suggests that the link between one’s life-course position and personal politics may be ambiguous, and early experiences should be more informative for political orientations. In this article, I use four household surveys across three countries and 40 items on political beliefs and preferences to test whether lifecourse transitions change one’s political orientations. In doing this, I employ difference-in-differences models to identify the effects of six life transitions across family and work domains on a wide variety of propositional survey items. I find that life-course transitions have no substantive influence on political orientations, and the general findings are not sensitive to differences in political interest or the age at which individuals experience these life events.

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成年后的生命历程转变是否会影响政治倾向？一个框架表明，生活事件使人们接触到新信息，使行为者能够根据这些社会经历评估他们的政治信仰和偏好。另一种框架表明，一个人的生命历程立场与个人政治之间的联系可能是模糊的，早期的经历应该为政治取向提供更多信息。在本文中，我使用了三个国家的四项家庭调查和 40 个有关政治信仰和偏好的项目来测试生命历程的转变是否会改变一个人的政治取向。在此过程中，我采用双重差分模型来确定跨家庭和工作领域的六种生活转变对各种命题调查项目的影响。我发现生命历程的转变对政治取向没有实质性影响，而且一般研究结果对政治利益或个人经历这些生活事件的年龄的差异并不敏感。

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