Nature Food ( IF 23.6 ) Pub Date : 2024-09-27 , DOI: 10.1038/s43016-024-01057-z Yize Liu, Minghao Zhuang, Xia Liang, Shu Kee Lam, Deli Chen, Arunima Malik, Mengyu Li, Manfred Lenzen, Liying Zhang, Rui Zhang, Lixiao Zhang, Yan Hao
Nitrogen (N) management is the key to achieving food security and environmental sustainability. Here we analyse N flows using a localized N management model for wheat, maize and rice in 1,690 Chinese counties, with a breakdown of multiple reactive N (Nr) loss pathways. Results show that the total N input for producing these three staple crops in China was 22.2 Tg N in 2015, of which 7.4 Tg N was harvested as grain N and 4.0 Tg N was Nr losses in the forms of NH3 (47%), NOx (10%), N2O (3%), and leaching and runoff (40%). By assuming a production level equivalent to that of the top 10% of counties with the highest N use efficiency and yields surpassing the regional average, we reveal the possibility of achieving national staple crop production targets while improving net ecosystem economic benefit in 2050 through a 49% reduction (10.4 Tg N) in synthetic N fertilizer inputs and a 52% decrease (2.9 Tg N) in Nr losses.