Nature Ecology & Evolution ( IF 13.9 ) Pub Date : 2024-09-26 , DOI: 10.1038/s41559-024-02530-5 Yefeng Yang, Erik van Zwet, Nikolaos Ignatiadis, Shinichi Nakagawa
Despite the growing concerns about the replicability of ecological and evolutionary studies, no results exist from a field-wide replication project. We conduct a large-scale in silico replication project, leveraging cutting-edge statistical methodologies. Replicability is 30%–40% for studies with marginal statistical significance in the absence of selective reporting, whereas the replicability of studies presenting ‘strong’ evidence against the null hypothesis H0 is >70%. The former requires a sevenfold larger sample size to reach the latter’s replicability. We call for a change in planning, conducting and publishing research towards a transparent, credible and replicable ecology and evolution.
中文翻译:
生态和进化研究的大规模计算机复制
尽管人们越来越担心生态和进化研究的可复制性,但全领域的复制项目还没有取得任何结果。我们利用尖端的统计方法进行了大规模的计算机复制项目。在没有选择性报告的情况下,具有边际统计显着性的研究的可重复性为 30%–40%,而提出反对原假设H 0 的“强有力”证据的研究的可重复性为 >70%。前者需要七倍大的样本量才能达到后者的可重复性。我们呼吁改变规划、开展和发布研究的方式,以实现透明、可信和可复制的生态和进化。