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Defeating cap-and-trade: How the fossil fuel industry and climate change counter movement obstruct U.S. Climate Change Legislation
Global Environmental Change ( IF 8.6 ) Pub Date : 2024-09-13 , DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102919
Mirjam O. Nanko , Travis G. Coan

This study investigates the role of climate change contrarians in the defeat of the American Clean Energy and Security Act in 2010, a pivotal moment in U.S. climate policy that marked the end of extensive efforts to enact cap-and-trade climate legislation in the United States. Our research objectives are twofold: firstly, to determine the extent to which climate contrarians gained access to testify at congressional hearings in the years leading up to the bill’s ultimate defeat; and secondly, to examine the potential influence of fossil fuel industry (FFI) funds in facilitating this access. We compile a comprehensive new dataset encompassing all witnesses testifying at cap-and-trade and climate science hearings from 2003 to 2010. This information is cross-referenced with other pertinent data concerning interest groups, lobbying activities, and Congress. Our findings reveal a significant correlation between FFI lobbying expenditures and campaign contributions and the presence of contrarian witnesses at these hearings, suggesting a coordinated effort by the FFI to obstruct climate legislation. We find that contrarians were able to obtain disproportionate access to central hearings in key committees with jurisdiction over cap-and-trade bills, increasing their potential to obstruct legislation. Moreover, our analysis exposes a concerning over-representation of scientists known to deny the scientific consensus at these hearings, undermining the scientific consensus on climate change and perpetuating doubt about the urgency of climate action.

中文翻译:


击败限额与交易:化石燃料行业和气候变化逆向运动如何阻碍美国气候变化立法



本研究调查了气候变化逆向者在 2010 年《美国清洁能源和安全法案》失败中所扮演的角色,这是美国气候政策的关键时刻,标志着美国制定总量控制与交易气候立法的广泛努力的结束。我们的研究目标有两个:首先,确定在该法案最终失败之前的几年里,气候逆向者在多大程度上有机会在国会听证会上作证;其次,研究化石燃料工业(FFI)基金在促进这种准入方面的潜在影响。我们编制了一个全面的新数据集,其中包含 2003 年至 2010 年在总量控制与交易和气候科学听证会上作证的所有证人。该信息与有关利益团体、游说活动和国会的其他相关数据进行交叉引用。我们的研究结果揭示了 FFI 游说支出和竞选捐款与这些听证会上逆向证人的存在之间存在显着相关性,这表明 FFI 协调努力阻碍气候立法。我们发现,反对者能够获得过多的机会参加对限额与交易法案有管辖权的关键委员会的中央听证会,从而增加了他们阻碍立法的可能性。此外,我们的分析揭露了令人担忧的问题,即在这些听证会上否认科学共识的科学家人数过多,破坏了关于气候变化的科学共识,并使人们对气候行动的紧迫性产生了长期怀疑。
更新日期:2024-09-13
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