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Forecasting forest-related political decisions in a climate-constrained world – The remuneration of forest ecosystem services in Germany
Forest Policy and Economics ( IF 4.0 ) Pub Date : 2024-08-29 , DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103231
Detlef F. Sprinz , Tabea V. Schaefers , Freya Lenk , Max Krott

Political systems are under increasing pressures to respond to the impacts of climate change. We employ a numerical policy negotiation forecast model and apply it to forest-related political decisions on remunerating forest ecosystem services. Our results predict that German forest carbon sinks will be partially remunerated by government payment systems as will nature conservation efforts and climate resilient forest management. Our predictions indicate that there is substantial remaining upward pressure on each of these issues to go beyond present regulations.

中文翻译:


在气候受限的世界中预测与森林相关的政治决策——德国森林生态系统服务的报酬



政治体系面临着越来越大的压力来应对气候变化的影响。我们采用数值政策谈判预测模型,并将其应用于有关森林生态系统服务报酬的森林相关政治决策。我们的研究结果预测,德国森林碳汇将由政府支付系统部分补偿,自然保护工作和适应气候变化的森林管理也是如此。我们的预测表明,这些问题中的每一个都存在巨大的上行压力,需要超越现行法规。
更新日期:2024-08-29
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