The orderly synergy is crucial to the integrated development of urban and rural areas in China. The orderly synergistic development process can be regarded as a game of balancing the interests of rural and urban areas. Therefore, numerical simulations with scenario analysis using the evolutionary game approach are conducted to investigate the orderly synergistic development of urban-rural integration. The results show that: (1) The values of orderly synergistic benefits of urban-rural integration are negatively correlated with the Nash equilibrium values at the municipal and provincial levels. (2) The orderly synergistic benefits of policy and market environments have different strategic choices and behavioral constraints for both urban and rural areas. (3) The benefits of “market-oriented” urban-rural choices are greater than those of “policy-oriented” directions. At the municipal level, the main factors influencing the choice of a “market-oriented” direction are the increased benefits of water resources, land resources, rural population mobility, and urban innovation factors. while at the provincial level, all factors lead to urban-rural trends in a “policy-oriented” direction.

中文翻译：

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基于演化博弈模型的城乡一体化有序协同发展——以江西省为例


有序协同对于我国城乡一体化发展至关重要。有序协同发展过程可以看作是城乡利益平衡的博弈。因此，采用演化博弈方法进行数值模拟和情景分析，探讨城乡一体化有序协同发展。研究结果表明：（1）城乡一体化有序协同效益值与市、省两级纳什均衡值呈负相关。 （2）政策和市场环境的有序协同效益对城乡有不同的战略选择和行为约束。 （3）“市场导向”的城乡选择收益大于“政策导向”的城乡选择。在市级层面，影响“市场化”方向选择的主要因素是水资源、土地资源、农村人口流动和城市创新因素的效益增加。而在省域层面，各种因素都导致城乡走向“政策导向”的方向。