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Improvement in the 95-95-95 Targets Is Accompanied by a Reduction in Both the Human Immunodeficiency Virus Transmission Rate and Incidence in China
The Journal of Infectious Diseases ( IF 5.0 ) Pub Date : 2024-08-26 , DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiae302 Jingrong Ye 1 , Yun Lan 2 , Juan Wang 1 , Yi Feng 3 , Yi Lin 4, 5, 6 , Ying Zhou 7 , Jinjin Liu 8 , Dan Yuan 9 , Xinli Lu 10 , Weigui Guo 11 , Minna Zheng 12 , Xiao Song 13 , Quanhua Zhou 14 , Hong Yang 15 , Chenli Zheng 16 , Qi Guo 17 , Xiaohui Yang 18 , Kai Yang 19 , Lincai Zhang 20 , Zhangwen Ge 21 , Lifeng Liu 22 , Fengting Yu 23 , Yang Han 24 , Huihuang Huang 25 , Mingqiang Hao 1 , Qiang Chen 1 , Xuemei Ling 2 , Yuhua Ruan 3 , Yuan Dong 4, 5, 6 , Chang Zhou 9 , Xuangu Liu 11 , Jianyun Bai 12 , Xue Tong 13 , Ya Gao 15 , Zhengrong Yang 16 , Ao Wang 17 , Wei Wei 18 , Fanghua Mei 19 , Ruijuan Qiao 20 , Xinhua Luo 21 , Xiaojie Huang 22 , Jing Chen 1 , Fengyu Hu 2 , Xin Shen 4, 5, 6 , Wei Tan 16 , Aixia Tu 20 , Xinhui Zhang 26 , Shufang He 1 , Zhen Ning 4, 5, 6 , Jixiang Fan 17 , Cong Liu 19 , Conghui Xu 1 , Xianlong Ren 1 , Yanming Sun 1 , Yang Li 1 , Guowu Liu 1 , Xiyao Li 1 , Jie Li 1 , Junyi Duan 22 , Tao Huang 22 , Shuiqing Liu 27 , Guolong Yu 28 , Donglin Wu 17 , Yiming Shao 3 , Qichao Pan 4, 5, 6 , Linglin Zhang 9 , Bin Su 22 , Jianjun Wu 29 , Tianjun Jiang 25 , Hongxin Zhao 23 , Tong Zhang 22 , Faqing Chen 20 , Kun Cai 19 , Bing Hu 18 , Hui Wang 17 , Jin Zhao 16 , Baicheng Gao 15 , Wei Sun 13 , Tielin Ning 12 , Jianjun Li 30 , Shu Liang 9 , Yuqi Huo 8 , Gengfeng Fu 7 , Xin Chen 4, 5, 6 , Feng Li 2 , Hui Xing 3 , Hongyan Lu 1
The Journal of Infectious Diseases ( IF 5.0 ) Pub Date : 2024-08-26 , DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiae302 Jingrong Ye 1 , Yun Lan 2 , Juan Wang 1 , Yi Feng 3 , Yi Lin 4, 5, 6 , Ying Zhou 7 , Jinjin Liu 8 , Dan Yuan 9 , Xinli Lu 10 , Weigui Guo 11 , Minna Zheng 12 , Xiao Song 13 , Quanhua Zhou 14 , Hong Yang 15 , Chenli Zheng 16 , Qi Guo 17 , Xiaohui Yang 18 , Kai Yang 19 , Lincai Zhang 20 , Zhangwen Ge 21 , Lifeng Liu 22 , Fengting Yu 23 , Yang Han 24 , Huihuang Huang 25 , Mingqiang Hao 1 , Qiang Chen 1 , Xuemei Ling 2 , Yuhua Ruan 3 , Yuan Dong 4, 5, 6 , Chang Zhou 9 , Xuangu Liu 11 , Jianyun Bai 12 , Xue Tong 13 , Ya Gao 15 , Zhengrong Yang 16 , Ao Wang 17 , Wei Wei 18 , Fanghua Mei 19 , Ruijuan Qiao 20 , Xinhua Luo 21 , Xiaojie Huang 22 , Jing Chen 1 , Fengyu Hu 2 , Xin Shen 4, 5, 6 , Wei Tan 16 , Aixia Tu 20 , Xinhui Zhang 26 , Shufang He 1 , Zhen Ning 4, 5, 6 , Jixiang Fan 17 , Cong Liu 19 , Conghui Xu 1 , Xianlong Ren 1 , Yanming Sun 1 , Yang Li 1 , Guowu Liu 1 , Xiyao Li 1 , Jie Li 1 , Junyi Duan 22 , Tao Huang 22 , Shuiqing Liu 27 , Guolong Yu 28 , Donglin Wu 17 , Yiming Shao 3 , Qichao Pan 4, 5, 6 , Linglin Zhang 9 , Bin Su 22 , Jianjun Wu 29 , Tianjun Jiang 25 , Hongxin Zhao 23 , Tong Zhang 22 , Faqing Chen 20 , Kun Cai 19 , Bing Hu 18 , Hui Wang 17 , Jin Zhao 16 , Baicheng Gao 15 , Wei Sun 13 , Tielin Ning 12 , Jianjun Li 30 , Shu Liang 9 , Yuqi Huo 8 , Gengfeng Fu 7 , Xin Chen 4, 5, 6 , Feng Li 2 , Hui Xing 3 , Hongyan Lu 1
Affiliation
Background In 2016, China has implemented the World Health Organization's “treat all” policy. We aimed to assess the impact of significant improvements in the 95-95-95 targets on population-level human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmission dynamics and incidence. Methods We focused on 3 steps of the HIV care continuum: diagnosed, on antiretroviral therapy, and achieving viral suppression. The molecular transmission clusters were inferred using HIV-TRACE. New HIV infections were estimated using the incidence method in the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control HIV Modelling Tool. Results Between 2004 and 2023, the national HIV epidemiology database recorded 2.99 billion person-times of HIV tests and identified 1 976 878 new diagnoses. We noted a roughly “inverted-V” curve in the clustering frequency, with the peak recorded in 2014 (67.1% [95% confidence interval, 63.7%–70.5%]), concurrent with a significant improvement in the 95-95-95 targets from 10-13-<71 in 2005 to 84-93-97 in 2022. Furthermore, we observed a parabolic curve for a new infection with the vertex occurring in 2010. Conclusions In general, it was suggested that the improvements in the 95-95-95 targets were accompanied by a reduction in both the population-level HIV transmission rate and incidence. Thus, China should allocate more effort to the first “95” target to achieve a balanced 95-95-95 target.
更新日期:2024-08-26