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Reexamining predictors of trial outcomes in New York State's sex offender civil management process.
Law and Human Behavior ( IF 2.4 ) Pub Date : 2024-01-22 , DOI: 10.1037/lhb0000550
Nathan S Kemper 1 , Marie L Reilly 2 , Naomi J Freeman 2 , Jeffrey C Sandler 2
Affiliation  

OBJECTIVE In 2007, New York enacted the Sex Offender Management and Treatment Act, empowering the state to civilly manage individuals who have committed sexual offenses (respondents) and are deemed to have a mental abnormality (MA) that predisposes them to sexually recidivate after serving their criminal sentences. We sought to replicate and extend a previous study (Lu et al., 2015) to identify factors predicting legal decisions. HYPOTHESES We predicted, on the basis of previous research, that clinical information (e.g., diagnosis) as well as empirically supported risk factors (e.g., sexual deviance) would predict trial outcomes. METHOD We analyzed multiple pieces of demographic, criminogenic, and clinical data on three nested subsamples of respondents on the basis of the legal process: MA consent (n = 713), MA trial (n = 316), and disposition hearing (n = 643). The binary outcomes of interest were as follows: For the MA consent subsample, it was whether the respondent waived their MA trial; for the MA trial subsample, it was whether the respondent was found at trial to have an MA; and for the disposition hearing, it was whether the respondent was ordered to inpatient or outpatient civil management. RESULTS The strongest predictor of waiving the trial was geographic location; respondents outside New York City and Long Island were more likely to waive their trials (ORs = 2.38-3.37). The strongest predictors of MA trial and disposition hearing outcomes were Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders diagnoses; pedophilia (ORs = 4.05-7.22) and sexual sadism (ORs = 2.68-7.03) diagnoses increased the likelihood of an MA finding and confinement order. CONCLUSIONS Judges and juries give significant weight to clinical information, particularly pedophilia diagnoses, when making civil management legal decisions. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

中文翻译:


重新审查纽约州性犯罪者民事管理流程中审判结果的预测因素。



目标 2007 年,纽约州颁布了《性犯罪者管理和治疗法》,授权州政府对实施性犯罪并被认为患有精神异常 (MA) 并易于在服刑后重新发生性行为的个人(受访者)进行民事管理。刑事判决。我们试图复制和扩展之前的一项研究(Lu et al., 2015),以确定预测法律决策的因素。假设 根据先前的研究,我们预测临床信息(例如诊断)以及经验支持的风险因素(例如性偏差)将预测试验结果。方法 我们根据法律程序分析了受访者三个嵌套子样本的多项人口统计、犯罪原性和临床数据:MA 同意 (n = 713)、MA 试验 (n = 316) 和处置听证会 (n = 643) )。感兴趣的二元结果如下:对于 MA 同意子样本,是受访者是否放弃他们的 MA 试验;对于MA试验子样本,是试验中是否发现受访者具有MA;对于处置听证会,问题是被告是否被责令住院或门诊民事管理。结果 放弃试验的最强预测因素是地理位置;纽约市和长岛以外的受访者更有可能放弃试验(OR = 2.38-3.37)。 MA 试验和处置听力结果的最强预测因素是《精神疾病诊断和统计手册》的诊断;恋童癖(OR = 4.05-7.22)和性虐待狂(OR = 2.68-7.03)诊断增加了 MA 发现和监禁令的可能性。 结论 法官和陪审团在做出民事管理法律决定时,非常重视临床信息,特别是恋童癖诊断。 (PsycInfo 数据库记录 (c) 2024 APA,保留所有权利)。
更新日期:2024-01-22
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