ObjectiveEntringer et al. used longitudinal data from a German panel study to examine reciprocal causal effects between personality and religiosity, along with cultural moderators of these effects. The current paper examines the robustness of the original effects to alternative model specifications.MethodWe reanalyzed the same four‐wave data spanning 12 years (total N = 46,316), first replicating the original cross‐lagged panel analyses and then extending these analyses in three ways: Using a random‐intercept cross‐lagged panel model, using observed rather than latent variables, and modeling each trait individually rather than simultaneously.ResultsCorrelations between personality and religiosity were all small in size, even when aggregating over 12 years. Lagged effects were very small, and none was robust across all model specifications. Cultural moderators also depended on model specifications.ConclusionsThe very small size of these reciprocal effects, along with their sensitivity to model specifications, suggest that conclusions about causal effects of personality and religiosity should be drawn very cautiously.

中文翻译：

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关于德国样本中人格和宗教信仰之间相互关联的稳健性


ObjectiveEntringer et al. 使用来自德国面板研究的纵向数据来检查人格和宗教信仰之间的互惠因果效应，以及这些效应的文化调节因素。本文研究了原始效应对替代模型规范的稳健性。方法我们重新分析了跨越 12 年的相同四波数据 （总 N = 46,316），首先复制了原始的交叉滞后面板分析，然后以三种方式扩展了这些分析：使用随机截距交叉滞后面板模型，使用观察变量而不是潜在变量，并单独建模而不是同时建模每个性状。结果性格和宗教信仰之间的相关性都很小，即使汇总超过 12 年也是如此。滞后效应非常小，并且在所有模型规格中都没有稳健性。文化版主还取决于模型规格。结论这些互惠效应的规模非常小，以及它们对模型规格的敏感性，表明关于人格和宗教信仰的因果效应的结论应该非常谨慎。