Nature ( IF 50.5 ) Pub Date : 2024-07-17 , DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-07602-x Yude Pan 1 , Richard A Birdsey 2 , Oliver L Phillips 3 , Richard A Houghton 2 , Jingyun Fang 4 , Pekka E Kauppi 5, 6 , Heather Keith 7 , Werner A Kurz 8 , Akihiko Ito 9 , Simon L Lewis 3, 10 , Gert-Jan Nabuurs 11, 12 , Anatoly Shvidenko 13 , Shoji Hashimoto 9, 14 , Bas Lerink 11 , Dmitry Schepaschenko 13 , Andrea Castanho 2 , Daniel Murdiyarso 15, 16
The uptake of carbon dioxide (CO2) by terrestrial ecosystems is critical for moderating climate change1. To provide a ground-based long-term assessment of the contribution of forests to terrestrial CO2 uptake, we synthesized in situ forest data from boreal, temperate and tropical biomes spanning three decades. We found that the carbon sink in global forests was steady, at 3.6 ± 0.4 Pg C yr−1 in the 1990s and 2000s, and 3.5 ± 0.4 Pg C yr−1 in the 2010s. Despite this global stability, our analysis revealed some major biome-level changes. Carbon sinks have increased in temperate (+30 ± 5%) and tropical regrowth (+29 ± 8%) forests owing to increases in forest area, but they decreased in boreal (−36 ± 6%) and tropical intact (−31 ± 7%) forests, as a result of intensified disturbances and losses in intact forest area, respectively. Mass-balance studies indicate that the global land carbon sink has increased2, implying an increase in the non-forest-land carbon sink. The global forest sink is equivalent to almost half of fossil-fuel emissions (7.8 ± 0.4 Pg C yr−1 in 1990–2019). However, two-thirds of the benefit from the sink has been negated by tropical deforestation (2.2 ± 0.5 Pg C yr−1 in 1990–2019). Although the global forest sink has endured undiminished for three decades, despite regional variations, it could be weakened by ageing forests, continuing deforestation and further intensification of disturbance regimes1. To protect the carbon sink, land management policies are needed to limit deforestation, promote forest restoration and improve timber-harvesting practices1,3.
中文翻译:
持久的世界森林碳汇
陆地生态系统吸收二氧化碳 (CO 2 ) 对于减缓气候变化至关重要1 。为了对森林对陆地 CO 2吸收的贡献进行地面长期评估,我们综合了三十年来来自北方、温带和热带生物群落的原位森林数据。我们发现全球森林碳汇稳定,1990年代和2000年代为3.6±0.4 Pg C yr -1 ,2010年代为3.5±0.4 Pg C yr -1 。尽管全球保持稳定,但我们的分析揭示了一些主要的生物群落水平变化。由于森林面积的增加,温带森林(+30 ± 5%)和热带再生森林(+29 ± 8%)的碳汇增加,但北方森林(−36 ± 6%)和热带完整森林(−31 ± 6%)的碳汇减少7%)森林,分别是由于完整森林面积的加剧干扰和损失。质量平衡研究表明,全球陆地碳汇有所增加2 ,这意味着非林地碳汇有所增加。全球森林汇相当于化石燃料排放量的近一半(1990-2019 年为 7.8 ± 0.4 Pg C yr -1 )。然而,三分之二的汇效益已被热带森林砍伐抵消(1990-2019 年为 2.2 ± 0.5 Pg C yr -1 )。尽管全球森林汇三十年来一直没有减少,尽管存在地区差异,但森林老化、持续砍伐和干扰制度进一步加剧可能会削弱全球森林汇1 。为了保护碳汇,需要制定土地管理政策来限制森林砍伐、促进森林恢复和改进木材采伐做法1,3 。