A sound understanding of immigrants' settlement intentions and the factors that influence them is crucial for developing successful integration policies and predicting the economic performance of the host country. It can also help us better comprehend migration patterns and individual decisions. Drawing upon a structural approach, we examined selected phenomena such as a skills mismatch and perceived discrimination and explored how they influence migrants' choices between staying and integrating into Poland or returning to their home countries. Additionally, we considered the mediating role of the concept of social (dis)integration in shaping these behaviours. Through empirical analysis conducted on two groups of Ukrainians—economic migrants and war refugees—using data collected in the Greater Poland region, our findings revealed a stronger negative impact of perceived discrimination on settlement intentions for the sample of Ukrainian citizens who arrived before the war, compared with the sample of war refugees. This relationship is fully mediated by disintegration. However, we did not confirm the mediating role of disintegration in the relationship between intentions to settle in Poland and migrants' skills mismatch. Furthermore, we identified some differences in the loadings of factors between these two groups, particularly in relation to settlement intentions and discrimination.

中文翻译：

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远离还是留在里面？在结构性方法框架中探讨来自乌克兰的经济移民和战争难民的定居决定


充分了解移民的定居意图及其影响因素对于制定成功的融合政策和预测东道国的经济表现至关重要。它还可以帮助我们更好地理解迁移模式和个人决策。我们利用结构性方法，研究了技能不匹配和感知歧视等选定现象，并探讨了它们如何影响移民在留在波兰、融入波兰或返回祖国之间的选择。此外，我们还考虑了社会（解）整合概念在塑造这些行为中的中介作用。通过使用在大波兰地区收集的数据对两组乌克兰人（经济移民和战争难民）进行实证分析，我们的研究结果表明，对于战前抵达的乌克兰公民样本来说，感知到的歧视对定居意图产生了更强的负面影响，与战争难民样本进行比较。这种关系完全是通过解体来调节的。然而，我们并没有证实解体在波兰定居意愿与移民技能不匹配之间的关系中的中介作用。此外，我们发现这两个群体之间的因素负荷存在一些差异，特别是在定居意图和歧视方面。