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Regional fertility predictors based on socioeconomic determinants in Slovakia
Journal of Population Research ( IF 1.6 ) Pub Date : 2024-07-02 , DOI: 10.1007/s12546-024-09340-3
Janetta Nestorová Dická , Filip Lipták

The study's primary purpose was to recognise the effects of determinants on the level of fertility and thereby explain the differences in trends in the regions of Slovakia. At the turn of the century, the differences in fertility in regions increased, but the total fertility rate decreased. Multivariate statistical methods clarified the regional effects of the level and nature of fertility. Initial regression surveys indicated weak effects between regions, which led to applying factor and cluster analysis to establish regional types. Comprehensive regression analysis was then applied. The strength and nature of regional relationships differed at the inter- and intra-regional levels. Research has demonstrated significant differences in fertility rates dependent on the socioeconomic environment, as regional types uniquely link to determinants. Moreover, each determinant has specific spatial patterns with unequal regression coefficients at different regional levels, which cannot be evaluated constantly. Knowing how spatial variation in fecundity occurs will enable future studies to elucidate the processes involved. Finally, fertility is vital for social assessment and policy formulation, the study’s findings could inform local decision-makers and planners in identifying the socioeconomic conditions underlying fertility at the regional level and planning appropriate intervention strategies.



中文翻译:


基于斯洛伐克社会经济决定因素的区域生育率预测



该研究的主要目的是认识决定因素对生育水平的影响,从而解释斯洛伐克各地区趋势的差异。世纪之交,地区生育率差异加大,但总和生育率下降。多元统计方法阐明了生育水平和性质的区域影响。最初的回归调查表明区域之间的影响较弱,这导致应用因子和聚类分析来建立区域类型。然后应用综合回归分析。区域关系的强度和性质在区域间和区域内层面上有所不同。研究表明,生育率存在显着差异,取决于社会经济环境,因为区域类型与决定因素有着独特的联系。而且,每个决定因素都有特定的空间格局,不同区域层面的回归系数不等,无法持续评估。了解繁殖力的空间变化如何发生将使未来的研究能够阐明所涉及的过程。最后,生育率对于社会评估和政策制定至关重要,该研究的结果可以为当地决策者和规划者提供信息,帮助他们确定区域层面生育率背后的社会经济条件并规划适当的干预策略。

更新日期:2024-07-02
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