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Contrasting fast and slow intertropical convergence zone migrations linked to delayed Southern Ocean warming
Nature Climate Change ( IF 29.6 ) Pub Date : 2024-06-28 , DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02034-x
Wei Liu , Shouwei Li , Chao Li , Maria Rugenstein , Antony P. Thomas

Migrations of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) have significant impacts on tropical climate and society. Here we examine the ITCZ migration caused by CO2 increase using climate model simulations. During the first one to two decades, we find a northward ITCZ displacement primarily related to an anomalous southward atmospheric cross-equatorial energy transport. Over the next hundreds or thousands of years, the ITCZ moves south. This long-term migration is linked to delayed surface warming and reduced ocean heat uptake in the Southern Ocean, which alters the interhemispheric asymmetry of ocean heat uptake and creates a northward atmospheric cross-equatorial energy transport anomaly. The southward ITCZ shift, however, is reduced by changes in the net energy input to the atmosphere at the equator by about two-fifths. Our findings highlight the importance of Southern Ocean heat uptake to long-term ITCZ evolution by showing that the (quasi-)equilibrium ITCZ response is opposite to the transient ITCZ response.



中文翻译:


对比快速和缓慢的热带辐合带迁移与延迟的南大洋变暖有关



热带辐合带(ITCZ)的迁移对热带气候和社会产生重大影响。在这里,我们使用气候模型模拟来研究由 CO 2 增加引起的 ITCZ 迁移。在最初的一到二十年里,我们发现向北的 ITCZ 位移主要与异常向南的大气跨赤道能量传输有关。在接下来的数百年或数千年中,ITCZ 向南移动。这种长期迁移与南大洋表面变暖的延迟和海洋热量吸收的减少有关,这改变了海洋热量吸收的半球间不对称性,并造成向北的大气跨赤道能量输送异常。然而,向南的 ITCZ 移动因赤道大气净能量输入的变化而减少了约五分之二。我们的研究结果表明,(准)平衡 ITCZ 响应与瞬态 ITCZ 响应相反,强调了南大洋热量吸收对长期 ITCZ 演化的重要性。

更新日期:2024-06-28
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