Recidivism, and its contributing factors, remains a primary concern among juvenile justice practitioners. The literature has identified numerous policies and practices that reduce reoffending. Among these is use of validated assessment tools to identify risk level and treatment needs of youth. Using six years of juvenile court processing data, the authors examine the predictive validity of the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth (SAVRY), a structured professional judgement tool used to predict risk of violence and recidivism among youth aged 12 to 18. Findings support the use of the SAVRY to predict general recidivism, especially among males and highlights the importance of conducting gender-specific analyses. Analyses did not identify patterned race/ethnicity differences in risk. Our findings recommend the continued use of the SAVRY as an evidence-based instrument.

累犯及其影响因素仍然是少年司法从业人员的首要关切。文献已经确定了许多减少再次犯罪的政策和做法。其中包括使用经过验证的评估工具来确定青少年的风险水平和治疗需求。作者利用六年的少年法庭处理数据，检验了青少年暴力风险结构化评估 (SAVRY) 的预测有效性，这是一种结构化专业判断工具，用于预测 12 至 18 岁青少年的暴力和累犯风险。研究结果支持使用 SAVRY 来预测一般累犯，尤其是男性累犯，并强调进行针对性别的分析的重要性。分析并未发现风险中存在模式化的种族/民族差异。我们的研究结果建议继续使用 SAVRY 作为循证工具。