The use of the Bayes factor as a metric for the assessment of the probative value of forensic scientific evidence is largely supported by recommended standards in different disciplines. The application of Bayesian networks enables the consideration of problems of increasing complexity. The lack of a widespread consensus concerning key aspects of evidence evaluation and interpretation, such as the adequacy of a probabilistic framework for handling uncertainty or the method by which conclusions regarding how the strength of the evidence should be reported to a court, has meant the role of the Bayes factor in the administration of criminal justice has come under increasing challenge in recent years. We review the many advantages the Bayes factor has as an approach to the evaluation and interpretation of evidence.

中文翻译：

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贝叶斯因子在证据评价中的作用


使用贝叶斯因子作为评估法医科学证据证明价值的指标在很大程度上得到了不同学科推荐标准的支持。贝叶斯网络的应用可以考虑日益复杂的问题。关于证据评估和解释的关键方面缺乏广泛共识，例如处理不确定性的概率框架是否充分，或者关于如何向法院报告证据强度的结论的方法，这意味着贝叶斯因素在刑事司法管理中的作用近年来受到了越来越大的挑战。我们回顾了贝叶斯因子作为评估和解释证据的方法的许多优势。