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Climate change and migration: A review and new framework for analysis
WIREs Climate Change ( IF 9.4 ) Pub Date : 2024-04-13 , DOI: 10.1002/wcc.886 Gabrielle Daoust 1 , Jan Selby 2
WIREs Climate Change ( IF 9.4 ) Pub Date : 2024-04-13 , DOI: 10.1002/wcc.886 Gabrielle Daoust 1 , Jan Selby 2
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This article presents a new interpretive framework for understanding the implications of climate change for migration, and reviews and reflects on existing evidence and research gaps in light of this framework. Most existing climate‐migration research is heavily environment‐centric, even when acknowledging the importance of contextual or intervening factors. In contrast, the framework proposed here considers five different pathways through which climate change is affecting, or might affect, migration: short‐term shocks, long‐term climatic and related changes, environmental “pull” factors, climate adaptation and mitigation measures, and perceptions and narratives. In reviewing the existing evidence relating to each of these pathways, the paper finds among other things that short‐term shocks may simultaneously increase and reduce migration; that the evidence on long‐term trends provides a weak basis for understanding future dynamics; and that more attention needs to be paid to the other three pathways, by researchers and policymakers alike. Overall, the proposed framework and associated evidence review suggest a different and broader understanding of the migration implications of climate change from that outlined in the IPCC's most recent assessment, or in many existing reviews.This article is categorized under: Climate and Development Knowledge and Action in Development
中文翻译：
气候变化与移民：回顾和新的分析框架
本文提出了一个新的解释框架来理解气候变化对移民的影响，并根据该框架回顾和反思了现有的证据和研究差距。大多数现有的气候迁移研究都是以环境为中心的，即使承认背景或干预因素的重要性。相比之下，这里提出的框架考虑了气候变化正在影响或可能影响移民的五种不同途径：短期冲击、长期气候和相关变化、环境“拉动”因素、气候适应和缓解措施以及看法和叙述。在审查与这些途径相关的现有证据时，本文发现短期冲击可能会同时增加和减少移民；长期趋势的证据为理解未来动态提供了薄弱的基础；研究人员和政策制定者都需要更多地关注其他三种途径。总体而言，拟议的框架和相关证据审查表明，对气候变化对移民的影响有不同的、更广泛的理解，与 IPCC 最新评估或许多现有审查中概述的内容不同。本文分类如下： 气候与发展 发展中的知识和行动
更新日期：2024-04-13
中文翻译：
气候变化与移民：回顾和新的分析框架
本文提出了一个新的解释框架来理解气候变化对移民的影响，并根据该框架回顾和反思了现有的证据和研究差距。大多数现有的气候迁移研究都是以环境为中心的，即使承认背景或干预因素的重要性。相比之下，这里提出的框架考虑了气候变化正在影响或可能影响移民的五种不同途径：短期冲击、长期气候和相关变化、环境“拉动”因素、气候适应和缓解措施以及看法和叙述。在审查与这些途径相关的现有证据时，本文发现短期冲击可能会同时增加和减少移民；长期趋势的证据为理解未来动态提供了薄弱的基础；研究人员和政策制定者都需要更多地关注其他三种途径。总体而言，拟议的框架和相关证据审查表明，对气候变化对移民的影响有不同的、更广泛的理解，与 IPCC 最新评估或许多现有审查中概述的内容不同。本文分类如下：
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