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A Portfolio Approach to Global Imbalances
Journal of Finance ( IF 7.6 ) Pub Date : 2024-04-09 , DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13333
ZHENGYANG JIANG , ROBERT J. RICHMOND , TONY ZHANG

We use a portfolio-based framework to understand what drives the decline of the U.S. net foreign asset (NFA) position and the reversal in returns earned on the U.S. NFA (exorbitant privilege). We show that global savings gluts and monetary policies widened the U.S. NFA position, while investor demand shifts partially offset this widening. Moreover, U.S. privilege declined after 2010, in line with increasing foreign demand for U.S. equity. We also highlight a quantity dimension of the U.S. privilege: The U.S. can issue substantially more debt than other countries for a given yield increase.

中文翻译:

应对全球失衡的投资组合方法

我们使用基于投资组合的框架来了解是什么推动了美国净外国资产 (NFA) 头寸的下降以及美国 NFA 赚取的回报(过高的特权)的逆转。我们发现,全球储蓄过剩和货币政策扩大了美国 NFA 头寸,而投资者需求的变化部分抵消了这种扩大。此外,2010年后,随着外国对美国股票的需求不断增加,美国的特权有所下降。我们还强调了美国特权的数量维度:在给定的收益率增长的情况下,美国可以比其他国家发行更多的债务。
更新日期:2024-04-09
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