The assessment of urban transport interventions is complex, multi-faceted, and context-dependent. This study proposes a multi-methodology approach called to evaluate the potential impact of the implementation of temporary bike paths during the COVID-19 pandemic on Bogotá’s bicycle complex system. The proposed methodology applies systems theory to identify the complexity, barriers, and facilitators of the system and uses statistical and simulation methods to assess the potential impact of temporary bike paths on the safety and quality of life of bicycle users in Bogotá during the COVID-19 pandemic. The results of the case study indicate that the temporary bike paths could have been a factor that helped reduce bicycle collision rates (by 56%), increased the use of street segments classified with low levels of traffic stress (by 6.22%), and prevented premature deaths (145 per year). The proposed methodology is helpful for policymakers who aim to design active transport interventions in support of a sustainable and healthy environment.

中文翻译：

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通过系统分析对主动交通干预进行影响评估

城市交通干预措施的评估是复杂的、多方面的并且取决于具体情况。本研究提出了一种多方法学方法，用于评估在 COVID-19 大流行期间实施临时自行车道对波哥大自行车综合系统的潜在影响。所提出的方法应用系统理论来识别系统的复杂性、障碍和促进因素，并使用统计和模拟方法来评估临时自行车道在 COVID-19 期间对波哥大自行车用户的安全和生活质量的潜在影响大流行。案例研究的结果表明，临时自行车道可能是有助于降低自行车碰撞率（减少 56%）、增加交通压力较低的街道路段的使用（减少 6.22%）以及防止交通事故发生的一个因素。过早死亡（每年 145 人）。拟议的方法对于旨在设计积极的交通干预措施以支持可持续和健康的环境的政策制定者很有帮助。