Juvenile justice agencies are increasing their emphasis on early intervention and prevention services as a growing body of research evinces their effectiveness and cost efficiency. The present study analyzed the relationship between individual risk factors, contextual risk factors, and future juvenile justice involvement for 30,328 Florida youth residing in 3309 census tracts served by prevention programs. A series of two-level logistic regressions indicated that several distinct criminological domains (e.g., aggression, relationships, family, substance use, and attitudes/behaviors) predict future juvenile justice system involvement. However, education-related risk factors are among the most consequential for all youth, especially older youth. Concerning community context, neighborhood disadvantage directly affects system involvement, but only for youth under 12.

中文翻译：

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上游工作：对接受预防服务的青少年未来参与少年司法的个人和背景风险因素进行全州范围分析

随着越来越多的研究证明早期干预和预防服务的有效性和成本效益，少年司法机构越来越重视这些服务。本研究分析了居住在预防计划服务的 3309 个人口普查区的 30,328 名佛罗里达州青少年的个人风险因素、背景风险因素和未来少年司法参与之间的关系。一系列两级逻辑回归表明，几个不同的犯罪学领域（例如，攻击性、关系、家庭、药物使用和态度/行为）预测未来少年司法系统的参与。然而，与教育相关的风险因素对所有青年，尤其是年龄较大的青年来说是最重要的。就社区环境而言，邻里劣势直接影响系统参与，但仅限于 12 岁以下青少年。