OBJECTIVE Risk assessment is essential to effective correctional practice. For individuals with contact sexual offenses, many risk tools are available. There are fewer options, however, for individuals whose sexual offending exclusively involves child sexual exploitation materials (CSEM; legally referred to in Canada and the United States as child pornography). HYPOTHESES The present study examined the predictive validity of the ACUTE-2007 and STABLE-2007 sexual recidivism risk tools among men with CSEM offenses. We expected these tools to show moderate predictive validity across study groups. METHOD We compared the scales' discrimination and calibration across three groups: (a) 1,042 men with contact sexual offenses against children (baseline comparison), (b) 228 men with exclusive CSEM offending (no contact sexual offenses), and (c) 80 men with both contact sexual offenses and CSEM offenses. RESULTS We found that the ACUTE-2007 and STABLE-2007 total scores and items had comparable (and often better) discrimination for men with CSEM offending compared with contact sexual offending against children in the prediction of any sexual recidivism, violent recidivism, and any recidivism. Calibration analyses indicated that the overall sexual recidivism rates for the median ACUTE-2007 and STABLE-2007 scores were similar for men with exclusive CSEM offenses compared with men with any contact offending against children. Almost all of the sexual recidivism for the CSEM-exclusive group involved further CSEM offenses. CONCLUSIONS This study supports the use of these tools to rank-order men with CSEM offending in terms of their risk of reoffending and to help direct treatment and management efforts. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

中文翻译：

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ACUTE-2007 和 STABLE-2007 预测因儿童性剥削物质犯罪而被判刑的男性的累犯。


目标 风险评估对于有效的惩教实践至关重要。对于接触性犯罪的个人，可以使用许多风险工具。然而，对于那些性犯罪专门涉及儿童性剥削材料（CSEM；在加拿大和美国法律上称为儿童色情制品）的个人来说，选择较少。假设 本研究检验了 ACUTE-2007 和 STABLE-2007 性累犯风险工具在 CSEM 犯罪男性中的预测有效性。我们预计这些工具在各个研究组中表现出中等的预测有效性。方法 我们比较了三组量表的歧视和校准：(a) 1,042 名对儿童发生接触性性犯罪的男性（基线比较），(b) 228 名仅发生 CSEM 犯罪的男性（无接触性性犯罪），以及 (c) 80 名男性。同时犯有接触性性犯罪和 CSEM 犯罪的男性。结果 我们发现，与针对儿童的接触性犯罪相比，ACUTE-2007 和 STABLE-2007 的总分和项目在预测任何性累犯、暴力累犯和任何累犯方面对 CSEM 犯罪男性具有可比（而且通常更好）的歧视性。校准分析表明，与对儿童进行任何接触犯罪的男性相比，仅发生过 CSEM 犯罪的男性的 ACUTE-2007 和 STABLE-2007 评分中位数的总体性累犯率相似。几乎所有 CSEM 专属群体的性累犯都涉及进一步的 CSEM 犯罪。结论 本研究支持使用这些工具对患有 CSEM 犯罪的男性再犯罪风险进行排序，并帮助指导治疗和管理工作。 （PsycInfo 数据库记录 (c) 2024 APA，保留所有权利）。