Science of the Total Environment ( IF 8.2 ) Pub Date : 2023-07-29 , DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165844 Stuart K Grange 1 , Jörg Sintermann 2 , Christoph Hueglin 3
Ammonia () is an important atmospheric pollutant and despite significant management efforts, trends of concentrations have not shown progressive decreases over the last few decades across much of Europe. To investigate this issue, long-term concentrations from passive sampling tubes were analysed at 32 locations across Switzerland and Liechtenstein. A trend analysis controlling for changes in meteorology employing generalised additive models (GAMs) between 2000 and 2021 showed that 29 of the 32 (91 %) sites experienced no significant change or increasing concentrations with the greatest trend being 0.17 . These results conflict with an indicated 13 % reduction in emissions from the Swiss emission inventory. The sensitivity of the -ammonium () system to reductions of ‘s acidic sinks (mostly in the form of nitric and sulfuric acids) was investigated with thermodynamic equilibrium modelling to explain this disconnect. The simulations indicated that the reductions in ‘s acidic sinks resulted in less transformation, thus increasing the / ratio and this process has compensated for the reduction in emissions. The average effect of the sink reductions was an increase of 0.9 in between 2004 and 2021. Increases in the / ratio have likely occurred in many European countries due to reductions of acidic precursor emissions and will have consequences for reactive nitrogen deposition and alter import-export budgets among neighbouring regions and countries.
中文翻译:
瑞士/列支敦士登大气氨(NH3)的气象标准化长期趋势以及气体-气溶胶分配的解释作用
氨()是一种重要的大气污染物,尽管做出了巨大的管理努力,但过去几十年来,欧洲大部分地区的浓度并未出现逐步下降的情况。为了研究这个问题,需要长期对瑞士和列支敦士登 32 个地点的被动采样管的浓度进行了分析。采用广义加性模型 (GAM) 控制 2000 年至 2021 年间气象变化的趋势分析表明,32 个站点中有 29 个 (91%) 没有经历显着变化或增加最大趋势为 0.17 的浓度。这些结果与 13% 的减少相冲突瑞士排放清单中的排放量。的灵敏度-铵()系统减少通过热力学平衡模型研究了酸性汇(主要以硝酸和硫酸的形式),以解释这种脱节。模拟表明,减少的酸性水槽导致减少转变,从而增加/比率,并且该过程补偿了排放。汇减少的平均效果增加了 0.9在2004 年至 2021 年间。/由于酸性前体排放量的减少,许多欧洲国家可能出现了这种情况,并将对活性氮沉积产生影响,并改变邻近地区和国家之间的进出口预算。