Pereboom’s ‘wild coincidences’ argument against agent-causal libertarianism is based on the claim that in a world governed by statistical laws, the dovetailing of indeterministic physical happenings with the free actions of agent causes would be a coincidence too wild to be credible. In this paper it is shown that the conclusion is valid for deterministic laws, but that it fails for statistical laws. Therefore, the ‘wild coincidences’ argument does not provide the promised empirical refutation of agent-causal libertarianism.

中文翻译：

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驯服 Pereboom 的疯狂巧合

Pereboom 反对代理因果自由主义的“疯狂巧合”论点是基于这样的主张，即在一个由统计法则统治的世界中，不确定的物理事件与代理原因的自由行动的吻合将是一种过于疯狂而不可信的巧合。在本文中，表明该结论对确定性规律有效，但对统计规律不成立。因此，“疯狂的巧合”论证并没有提供对因果自由意志主义的承诺的经验反驳。