This paper integrates the scholarship on compliance with international human rights courts to reflect upon how the literature approaches delays and compliance cycles. Building on this review, we propose a new analytical approach that helps distinguish between reparations prone to immediate or protracted implementation. We introduce two metrics to facilitate the interpretation of delays: the yearly probability of compliance and the expected time to compliance. We also show, using machine-learning tools, how scholars can reconstruct life cycles of compliance. The article illustrates the utility of this approach with an analysis of all cases decided by the Inter-American Court of Human Rights (IACtHR) between 1989 and 2019. This analytical framework provides critical insights for courts and activists seeking to promote interventions at key moments when compliance is most likely. Moreover, the study underscores important lessons for the Inter-American Human Rights System. Current concerns about a compliance “crisis” at the IACtHR partly reflect a failure to distinguish between reparation types and the Court's preference for reparations requiring protracted implementation. By modeling compliance life cycles, our study opens a promising research avenue that can facilitate effectual and timely policy intervention.

中文翻译：

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及时遵守：美洲人权法院的教训

本文整合了关于遵守国际人权法院的学术研究，以反思文献如何处理延误和遵守周期。在此审查的基础上，我们提出了一种新的分析方法，有助于区分易于立即或长期实施的赔偿。我们引入了两个指标来帮助解释延迟：年度合规概率和预期合规时间。我们还使用机器学习工具展示了学者们如何重建合规性的生命周期。本文通过分析美洲人权法院 (IACtHR) 在 1989 年至 2019 年期间裁决的所有案件，说明了这种方法的实用性。该分析框架为寻求在最有可能合规的关键时刻促进干预的法院和活动家提供了重要见解。此外，该研究强调了美洲人权体系的重要教训。目前对 IACtHR 合规“危机”的担忧部分反映了未能区分赔偿类型以及法院倾向于需要长期实施的赔偿。通过对合规生命周期进行建模，我们的研究开辟了一条有前途的研究途径，可以促进有效和及时的政策干预。目前对 IACtHR 合规“危机”的担忧部分反映了未能区分赔偿类型以及法院倾向于需要长期实施的赔偿。通过对合规生命周期进行建模，我们的研究开辟了一条有前途的研究途径，可以促进有效和及时的政策干预。目前对 IACtHR 合规“危机”的担忧部分反映了未能区分赔偿类型以及法院倾向于需要长期实施的赔偿。通过对合规生命周期进行建模，我们的研究开辟了一条有前途的研究途径，可以促进有效和及时的政策干预。