How do sequences of upward and downward socioeconomic mobility influence political views among those who have “risen” or “fallen” during periods of leftist governance? While existing studies identify a range of factors, long-term mobility trajectories have been largely unexplored. The question has particular salience in contemporary Brazil, where, after a decade of extraordinary poverty reduction on the watch of the leftist Workers’ Party (PT), a subsequent period of economic and political crises intensified anti-PT sentiment. This article uses original data from the 2016 Brazil’s Once-Rising Poor (BORP) Survey, using a 3-city sample of 822 poor and working-class Brazilians to analyze the relationship between retrospective assessments of prior socioeconomic mobility and anti-PT sentiment. The study found that people who reported a “stalled” mobility sequence (upward mobility followed by static or downward mobility) were more likely to harbor anti-left sentiment than other groups, as measured by this study’s anti-PT index.

社会经济向上和向下流动的顺序如何影响左派统治期间那些“上升”或“下降”的人的政治观点？虽然现有研究确定了一系列因素，但长期流动轨迹在很大程度上尚未得到探索。这个问题在当代巴西尤为突出，在左翼工人党 (PT) 领导下进行了十年非凡的减贫之后，随后的经济和政治危机加剧了反 PT 情绪。本文使用来自 2016 年巴西曾经崛起的穷人 (BORP) 调查的原始数据，使用 3 个城市的 822 名巴西穷人和工人阶级样本来分析对先前社会经济流动性和反 PT 情绪的回顾性评估之间的关系。