We examine the health effects of the Lancashire Cotton Famine, a sharp downturn in Britain's cotton textile manufacturing regions that was induced by the US Civil War. Migration was an important response to this downturn, but as we document, migration also introduces a number of empirical challenges, which we overcome by introducing a new methodological approach. Our results indicate that the recession increased mortality among households employed in the cotton textile industry. We also document localized spillover effects on households providing nontradable services in the areas affected by the recession. (JEL E32, I12, J63, N13, N33, N63, N93)

中文翻译：

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衰退、死亡率和迁移偏差：来自兰开夏郡棉花饥荒的证据

我们研究了兰开夏郡棉花饥荒对健康的影响，这是由美国内战引发的英国棉纺织品制造地区的急剧下滑。移民是对这种低迷的重要回应，但正如我们所记录的，移民也带来了许多经验挑战，我们通过引入一种新的方法来克服这些挑战。我们的研究结果表明，经济衰退增加了棉纺织行业就业家庭的死亡率。我们还记录了在受经济衰退影响的地区提供非贸易服务的家庭的局部溢出效应。(JEL E32、I12、J63、N13、N33、N63、N93)