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Temperature, Labor Reallocation, and Industrial Production: Evidence from India
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics ( IF 5.5 ) Pub Date : 2021-09-27 , DOI: 10.1257/app.20190249
Jonathan Colmer 1
Affiliation  

To what degree can labor reallocation mitigate the economic consequences of weather-driven agricultural productivity shocks? I estimate that temperature-driven reductions in the demand for agricultural labor in India are associated with increases in nonagricultural employment. This suggests that the ability of nonagricultural sectors to absorb workers may play a key role in attenuating the economic consequences of agricultural productivity shocks. Exploiting firm-level variation in the propensity to absorb workers, I estimate relative expansions in manufacturing output in more flexible labor markets. Estimates suggest that, in the absence of labor reallocation, local economic losses could be up to 69 percent higher. (JEL J23, J43, L60, O13, O14, Q54, Q56)

中文翻译:

温度、劳动力重新分配和工业生产:来自印度的证据

劳动力重新分配能在多大程度上减轻天气驱动的农业生产力冲击的经济后果?我估计,温度导致印度对农业劳动力需求的减少与非农业就业的增加有关。这表明非农业部门吸收工人的能力可能在减轻农业生产力冲击的经济后果方面发挥关键作用。利用企业吸纳工人倾向的差异,我估计制造业产出在更灵活的劳动力市场中的相对扩张。估计表明,在没有劳动力重新分配的情况下,当地经济损失可能高达 69%。(JEL J23, J43, L60, O13, O14, Q54, Q56)
更新日期:2021-09-27
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