ABSTRACT

Until the 1970s the Asia-born population of Australia remained small due to the racist White Australia Policy which denied entry to non-Europeans. Following its abolition in the early 1970s, Asian immigration progressively intensified, and in 2016 the Asia-born population of the country reached a total of 2.7 million, though the older population aged 65+ remained relatively small. This paper presents new projections of Australia's older Asia-born populations from 2016 to 2056 created with a new birthplace projection model. The results show substantial growth of the older Asia-born population can be expected over coming decades, along with changing composition by country of birth. The Asia-born proportion of Australia's older population overall is projected to rise from just 6 per cent in 2016 to 19 per cent in 2056. These coming demographic changes present challenges and opportunities - in particular relating to the provision of culturally appropriate residential and community aged care.

摘要

直到 1970 年代，由于种族主义的白人澳大利亚政策拒绝非欧洲人入境，澳大利亚在亚洲出生的人口仍然很少。在 1970 年代初废除后，亚洲移民逐渐增多，2016 年该国在亚洲出生的人口总数达到 270 万，尽管 65 岁以上的老年人口仍然相对较少。本文介绍了使用新出生地预测模型创建的 2016 年至 2056 年澳大利亚亚洲老年人口的新预测。结果显示，随着出生国构成的变化，预计未来几十年亚洲出生的老年人口将出现大幅增长。亚洲出生的澳大利亚老年人口比例预计将从 2016 年的 6% 上升到 2056 年的 19%。