ABSTRACT

Despite the progress achieved in transformational development in socioeconomic domains, in Oman, like other Gulf Cooperation Council states, fertility rates are higher compared with those in other Middle East nations. Reproductive behaviour often varies geographically; consequently, analysing and modelling this phenomenon should be conducted at subnational and finer levels to capture spatial heterogeneity patterns. In this research, data from the last Omani census are used and local indicators of spatial associations (LISA) as well as spatial econometric models have been employed to examine the effects of sociocultural factors, particularly foreign female domestic workers, on local fertility variations. Remarkable spatial differences were observed in the effects of structural covariates on fertility rates. Several spatial clusters indicate a correlation between higher fertility rates and higher values of other explanatory sociocultural variables. Furthermore, the subnational variations of fertility rates are significantly explained by geographical and sociocultural factors, such a surban-rural settlement, education, female employment in governmental sectors, unemployed women, and the proportion of foreign female domestic workers. The findings also reveal that the rural and Bedouin communities, particularly in the internal governorates, not only displayed higher fertility rates, but also had more unemployed women.

摘要

尽管在社会经济领域的转型发展取得了进展，但在阿曼，与海湾合作委员会其他国家一样，其生育率仍高于其他中东国家。生殖行为通常在地域上有所不同；因此，应在国家以下及以下级别对这种现象进行分析和建模，以捕获空间异质性模式。在这项研究中，使用了最近一次阿曼人口普查的数据，并采用了当地的空间协会指标（LISA）以及空间计量经济模型来检验社会文化因素，特别是外来女性家庭佣工对当地生育率变化的影响。在结构协变量对生育率的影响中观察到了显着的空间差异。几个空间集群表明较高的生育率与其他解释性社会文化变量的较高值之间的相关性。此外，国家和地区的生育率差异是由地理和社会文化因素引起的，这些因素包括城乡安置，教育，政府部门的女性就业，失业的妇女以及外籍女佣的比例。调查结果还表明，农村和贝都因人社区，特别是在内部省份中，不仅显示出较高的生育率，而且还有更多的失业妇女。例如城乡安置，教育，政府部门的女性就业，失业的妇女以及外籍女佣的比例。调查结果还表明，农村和贝都因人社区，特别是在内部省份中，不仅显示出较高的生育率，而且还有更多的失业妇女。例如城乡安置，教育，政府部门的女性就业，失业的妇女以及外籍女佣的比例。调查结果还表明，农村和贝都因人社区，特别是在内部省份中，不仅显示出较高的生育率，而且还有更多的失业妇女。