马来西亚经济增长和森林面积对二氧化碳排放的动态影响,Sustainability

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马来西亚经济增长和森林面积对二氧化碳排放的动态影响
Sustainability ( IF 3.3 ) Pub Date : 2020-11-11 , DOI: 10.3390/su12229375
Rawshan Ara Begum , Asif Raihan , Mohd Nizam Mohd Said

本研究衡量了马来西亚经济增长和森林面积对二氧化碳 (CO 2 ) 排放量的关系和动态影响。采用动态普通最小二乘法 (DOLS) 方法使用 1990 年至 2016 年期间的时间序列数据。DOLS 估计的结果表明，经济增长系数为正且与 CO 2 排放显着相关，这意味着国内生产总值 (GDP) 增加 100 万令吉与 CO 2 排放量增加 0.931 千吨相关。相反，森林面积的长期系数发现为负且显着，这意味着减少一公顷森林面积（即森林砍伐）会影响马来西亚三千吨的 CO 2 排放量增加。我们的研究结果表明，经济增长和森林砍伐对马来西亚的碳排放产生不利影响，其中 GDP 增长以更快的速度促进碳排放。因此，有效实施包括植树造林和再造林、森林保护、可持续森林管理、REDD+（减少毁林和森林退化造成的排放加）机制和其他减排机制在内的政策措施和经济手段，可有助于减少碳排放，同时减少森林砍伐并维持马来西亚的长期经济增长。

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Dynamic Impacts of Economic Growth and Forested Area on Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Malaysia

This study measures the relationship and dynamic impacts of economic growth and forested area on carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions in Malaysia. Time series data over the period of 1990 to 2016 were used by employing the dynamic ordinary least squared (DOLS) approach. The results of DOLS estimation indicate that the coefficient of economic growth is positive and significant with CO 2 emissions, meaning that RM1 million increase in gross domestic product (GDP) is associated with an increase in CO 2 emissions of 0.931 kilo tons. Instead, the long-run coefficient of forested area found negative and significant, which implies that declining one hectare of forested area (i.e., deforestation) has an impact of three kilo tons of CO 2 emissions rise in Malaysia. Our study findings indicate that economic growth and deforested area have an adverse effect on Malaysia’s carbon emissions where GDP growth fosters carbon emissions at a faster rate. Thus, the effective implementation of policy measures and economic instruments including afforestation and reforestation, forest conservation, sustainable forest management, REDD+ (reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation plus) mechanism and other emission reduction mechanisms inter alia could be useful for reducing carbon emissions while decreasing deforestation and maintaining the long-term economic growth in Malaysia.

更新日期：2020-11-11

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