Abstract At the dawn of the Anthropocene, continued economic growth carries the risk of irreversibly damaging the global carrying capacity. Using data from the International Union for the Conservation of Nature Red List of Threatened Species (2016), I present estimates of the expected extinction rates during the coming century for 557 regions. I illustrate that these rates exceed the planetary boundary formulated by Rockstrom et al. (2009) virtually everywhere and increase with population density and GDP per capita. Likewise, the percentage of threatened species increases with anthropogenic pressure. I find no evidence in support of an Environmental Kuznets Curve. By doing so, this paper contributes to an ongoing debate on the relevance of absolute versus relative scarcity for economic thought. My findings suggest that the conservation of nature would benefit from degrowth or the transition to a global steady state economy.

中文翻译：

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人类世的经济学：物种灭绝或稳态经济学

摘要 在人类世之初，持续的经济增长带来了不可逆转地破坏全球承载能力的风险。使用来自国际自然保护联盟濒危物种红色名录（2016 年）的数据，我对 557 个地区在下个世纪的预期灭绝率进行了估计。我说明这些速率超过了 Rockstrom 等人制定的行星边界。(2009) 几乎无处不在，并且随着人口密度和人均 GDP 的增加而增加。同样，受威胁物种的百分比随着人为压力而增加。我发现没有证据支持环境库兹涅茨曲线。通过这样做，本文有助于关于经济思想的绝对稀缺性与相对稀缺性的相关性的持续辩论。