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Climate-change threats to distribution, habitats, sustainability and conservation of highly traded medicinal and aromatic plants in Nepal
Ecological Indicators ( IF 7.0 ) Pub Date : 2020-04-29 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106435
Santosh Kumar Rana , Hum Kala Rana , Sailesh Ranjitkar , Suresh Kumar Ghimire , Chandra Mohan Gurmachhan , Alexander Robert O'Neill , Hang Sun

Climate change poses significant challenges to the conservation of highly traded prioritized medicinal and aromatic plants (MAPs) from the Greater Himalayas. It is therefore essential to understand, ‘how’ and ‘where’ the plantation of MAPs can be effectively implemented for dealing with conservation-related issues. However, the ensemble species distribution modelling (eSDM) approach could be best to determine the climatic space of six highly traded MAPs for plantation in Nepal. Meanwhile, the current suitability was projected to the future (2070; RCP 4.5) scenario using a global circulation model (GCM), BCC-CSM1.1. The model delineated climatic space of six highly traded MAPs in the highlands altitudinally ranging from 1800 to 4200 m a.s.l. (meter above sea level) with the core hotspot in the central region of Nepal. Under the current and future scenarios, Nardostachys jatamansi ‘Spikenard’ and Aconitum spicatum ‘Aconite’ are projected to have the highest (ca. 15% and 17%) and lowest (ca. 3% and 9%) suitable areas respectively. The climatic zone in the hilly region (ca. 3000 m) can be suitable for mixed cultivation of all six MAPs in combination with Paris polyphylla ‘Love Apple’ whereas, middle mountainous region (ca. 4000 m) is more suitable for Nardostachys jatamansi. Therefore, the appropriate climatic space of the highly traded MAPs suggests the great possibility of their mixed cultivation to combat the increasing pressure from international trade, thereby benefiting the local farmers or collectors. This approach is crucial for conceiving the adaptive measures for sustainable management concerning the conservation of the highly traded MAPs.



中文翻译:

气候变化对尼泊尔高度交易的药用和芳香植物的分布,生境,可持续性和保护的威胁

气候变化对保护大喜马拉雅山脉中高度交易的优先药用和芳香植物提出了重大挑战。因此,必须了解如何有效地实施MAP种植的“方式”和“地点”,以处理与保护相关的问题。但是,综合物种分布建模(eSDM)方法可能是确定尼泊尔种植的六个高度交易的MAP的气候空间的最佳方法。同时,使用全球流通模型(GCM)BCC-CSM1.1将当前的适用性预测到未来(2070; RCP 4.5)情况。该模型描绘了尼泊尔高原中部六个热点高度集中的MAP的气候空间,海拔高度从1800至4200 m asl(海拔1米)不等。Nardostachys jatamansi'Spikenard '和乌头乌头'Aconite'预计分别具有最高(大约15%和17%)和最低(大约3%和9%)的合适面积。丘陵地区的气候带(约3000 m)可与巴黎多叶植物“ Love Apple”结合使用,适合所有六个MAP的混合栽培,而中部山区(约4000 m)更适合Nardostachys jatamansi。因此,高交易量MAPs的适当气候空间表明,它们有很大的可能混合种植来应对来自国际贸易的日益增加的压力,从而使当地农民或收藏家受益。这种方法对于构思关于保护高交易量MAP的可持续管理的适应性措施至关重要。

更新日期:2020-04-29
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