Progress monitoring is integral to evidence-based practice. Correctional settings, especially the supervision of individuals who commit sexual offenses, elicit public concern; negative outcomes can be catastrophic. Using a prospective longitudinal study of 2,939 men with a history of sexual offenses undergoing community supervision, we examined different models of progress monitoring and how they should inform the assessment of risk for sexual recidivism. We found that the most recent assessment scores of the ACUTE-2007 and STABLE-2007 sexual recidivism risk tools provided the best information about reoffending risk compared to using (a) the worst period of adjustments (i.e., highest risk score), (b) the best period of adjustments (i.e., lowest risk score), or (c) a rolling average of scores. We also found that the latest STABLE-2007 scores incrementally predicted sexual recidivism beyond baseline risk as assessed by demographic and criminal history variables (Static-99R). We conclude that the risk for sexual recidivism changes over time and that community corrections is advanced by repeated assessment of dynamic (changeable) risk factors. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

中文翻译：

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随着时间的推移，重新犯罪的风险发生变化：通过进度监控改进惩教规划。


进度监控是循证实践不可或缺的一部分。惩教机构，特别是对性犯罪者的监管，引起了公众的关注；负面结果可能是灾难性的。我们对 2,939 名有性犯罪史并接受社区监督的男性进行了一项前瞻性纵向研究，研究了不同的进展监测模型以及它们应如何为性累犯风险评估提供信息。我们发现，与使用 (a) 最差调整期（即最高风险评分）、(b) 相比，ACUTE-2007 和 STABLE-2007 性累犯风险工具的最新评估分数提供了有关再犯罪风险的最佳信息。最佳调整期（即最低风险评分），或 (c) 评分的滚动平均值。我们还发现，最新的 STABLE-2007 分数逐渐预测性累犯超出了根据人口和犯罪史变量评估的基线风险 (Static-99R)。我们的结论是，性累犯的风险随着时间的推移而变化，并且通过对动态（可变）风险因素的反复评估来推进社区矫正。 （PsycInfo 数据库记录 (c) 2024 APA，保留所有权利）。