The impact of climate warming on coastal benthic fauna is already observed, but forecasting their long‐term fate remains challenging. This study uses δ18Oshell data of specimens of five bivalve species collected at six locations and results from kilometer‐scale atmosphere–ocean climate model for the time intervals of 1987–2017 and 2070–2100, to estimate changes in bivalve growth phenology. All species will benefit from climate warming during winter, experiencing a longer growing season than currently. The growth of Aequipecten opercularis, Flexopecten glaber, and Pecten jacobaeus will decrease in summer, resulting in up to 3 months of reduced growth per year. Glycymeris pilosa and Venus verrucosa in the southern Adriatic Sea will be more affected than those in the north, with up to 4 months longer annual growth. These findings can inform adaptation plans for bivalve management in the Adriatic Sea but also in areas where the studied species are present.

中文翻译：

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预测温带沿海双壳类动物的预期生长期

人们已经观察到气候变暖对沿海底栖动物的影响，但预测它们的长期命运仍然具有挑战性。本研究使用 δ18氧壳在六个地点收集的五种双壳类标本的数据以及1987-2017年和2070-2100年时间间隔的公里级大气-海洋气候模型的结果，以估计双壳类生长物候的变化。所有物种都将受益于冬季气候变暖，经历比现在更长的生长季节。的成长鳃扇贝,柔扇贝， 和雅氏扇贝夏季会减少，导致每年长达 3 个月的生长减少。甘草和疣状维纳斯亚得里亚海南部地区将比北部地区受到更大的影响，年增长率将延长长达 4 个月。这些发现可以为亚得里亚海以及所研究物种存在的地区的双壳类管理适应计划提供信息。