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Freedom, foreknowledge, and betting
Philosophical Issues ( IF 0.6 ) Pub Date : 2023-08-30 , DOI: 10.1111/phis.12255
Amy Seymour 1
Affiliation  

Certain kinds of prediction, foreknowledge, and future-oriented action appear to require settled future truths. But open futurists think that the future is metaphysically unsettled: if it is open whether p is true, then it cannot currently be settled that p is true. So, open futurists—and libertarians who adopt the position—face the objection that their view makes rational action and deliberation impossible. I defuse the epistemic concern: open futurism does not entail obviously counterintuitive epistemic consequences or prevent rational action.

中文翻译:

自由、预知和投注

某些类型的预测、预知和面向未来的行动似乎需要确定的未来真理。但开放未来主义者认为,未来在形而上学上是不确定的:如果p是否为真是开放的,那么当前就无法确定p是否为真。因此,开放的未来主义者——以及采取这一立场的自由主义者——面临着这样的反对意见,即他们的观点使理性行动和深思熟虑变得不可能。我消除了认知上的担忧:开放的未来主义不会带来明显违反直觉的认知后果或阻止理性行动。
更新日期:2023-08-30
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